[dave146]

Can Senator John McCain win my home state of Florida? What is the most accurate poll? Is CNN a good source? Thanks, I hope he wins... He is winning in my neighborhood but my neighborhood is full of POWs and vets...

[Galveston1]

Never trust polls. Most are designed to influence rather than be accurate, at least up until the very end, when the pollster NEEDS to be close or lose his credibility.
If you know how to pray, it couldn't hurt.

[Fr_Chuck]

Polls are so so at best. Some people will not tell the truth of who they will vote for, and others who will not bother voting and more.

[dave146]

Yes, I do pray for John McCain and Sarah Palin for more than two weeks now... Why can´t people be honest?

[tomder55]

McCain could easily win all the swing states.

Do not believe the polls . They are skewed .The RealClearPolitics average had him up by 8.3 percentage points during the New Hampshire primaries .But Obama didn't win. He lost that primary by 2.6 percentage points.
Joe the plumber or six pack doesn't have time to participate in polls . They are too busy working . That is why polls are unreliable.

In the case of Fla . All the polling data falls within the couple of point margin of error. The key is turnout .

[excon]

Hello Dave:

He surly could win. But, I think not. As I watch, turnout is BIG. That's not good for McCain.

Why do people lie? Why should I allow some some voice on the phone into my most private and personal matters? I don't, and I doubt other people do. Polls, however, are the best barometers we have right now of the political landscape. I think if you take the average of the polls you see, you'll get a somewhat fair idea of which way things are going.

Polls, and the people who run them, get paid for doing GOOD work. They don't get hired if they suck. The people who hire pollsters don't want them to be skewed. They actually want them to be accurate. Given the above, most of the ones who get HIRED, ARE pretty accurate.

excon

[jjwoodhull]

Some people believe that their vote is a private matter. Others change their mind on who they are voting for as time goes by. We tend to hear more from people who are strong supporters for their candidate and less from people who don't follow poitical party lines. These are some of the reasons that polls tend to be inaccurate.

[dave146]

Some people believe that their vote is a private matter.

But most people wear badges and have signs on there yard etc...

[NeedKarma]

But most people wear badges and have signs on there yard etc...

Some, not "most".

[jjwoodhull]

But most people wear badges and have signs on there yard etc...

I think it seems like "most" because we are more likely to notice the ones that do, rather than the ones that don't. Even in it's simpliest definition, most would imply that more than 50% of the people are either wearing buttons or putting signs in the yard. That is certainly not the case in my neighborhood, although it may be in yours.

[dave146]

Oh... well in my neighborhood I see people express their opinions very openly... I´m a small town boy :)