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    cashmir86's Avatar
    cashmir86 Posts: 2, Reputation: 1
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    #1

    Aug 24, 2013, 04:53 PM
    simple probability question:S which i cant solve
    What is the probability that I will roll a 2, 6 or more times when I throw a single die 10 times?
    ebaines's Avatar
    ebaines Posts: 12,131, Reputation: 1307
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    #2

    Aug 24, 2013, 05:48 PM
    Do you know the formula for binomial probability? Given the probability of a single event p, the probability of it happening k times in n attempts is p(k) = C(n,k)p^k(1-p)^(n-k). So, do you know the probability of rolling a 2 for a single roll? Use that value for p, and then find the probability of rolling a two 6 out of 10 times, plus the probability of rolling a to 7 out of 10 times, plus 8 out of 10, plus 9 out of 10, plus 10 out of 10. Post back with what you get for an answer and we'll check it for you.
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    cashmir86 Posts: 2, Reputation: 1
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    #3

    Aug 24, 2013, 11:01 PM
    probability of rolling a 2 in a single role = 1/6
    so p = 1/6 k=6; 7; 8; 9; 10 n= 10

    P(6)= C(10,6)1/6^6 (1-1/6)^(10-6)

    C(n,k) = n!/(k!(n-k)!)
    C(10,6) = 10!/(6!(10-4)!)
    C(10,6) = 3628800/ 720*720
    = 3628800/ 3628800
    = 1

    P(6)= (1/46656) * (5/6)^4
    = 0.00001033635
    so 0.001%

    this is the answer I am coming up with using the formula. Does this look right? Ive tried to put in all the steps of my calculation in case I've made mistakes:S

    Thank you so so much by the way!! this is really helping me out a LOT!
    ebaines's Avatar
    ebaines Posts: 12,131, Reputation: 1307
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    #4

    Aug 25, 2013, 05:33 AM
    Quote Originally Posted by cashmir86
    C(n,k) = n!/(k!(n-k)!)
    C(10,6) = 10!/(6!(10-4)!)
    The second line is incorrect. Given n=10 and k = 6 you should have:



    So

    Now repeat the calculation for P(7), P(8), P(9), and P(10) and add them all up to get the total probability of six or more 2's in ten tries.

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