[tomder55]

Repubs crack me up . When polls are going against them they say the results are rigged. When they suddenly tighten up or begin showing positive towards them they proclaim ...... see what the polls say !!!

I have 2 theories. One I have suggested before that the polling organizations have a stake in getting it right at the end. An alternate theory would be that they are shilling for the Dems at the beginning and they still are. But how could that be ?

It is a matter of base complacency . They believe that if Repubs believe they are winning then there is less urgency to get their voters to the polls .

Suddenly as if by magic Trump is leading in the swing states except Minnesota according to RCP.
2024 Electoral College: No Toss-Up States | RealClearPolling

Bubba advisor and pollster Mark Penn pronounced in WSJ that Trump has taken the lead.
Donald Trump Has the Edge for Now - WSJ

The Slimes says Trump has gaines a slight lead.
State of the Race: A Slight Shift Toward Trump but Still No Clear Favorite - The New York Times

I have read compliant press warnings disguised as news about the possibility of Dem complacency. None yet from the Repubs.

[tomder55]

The final NY Slimes /Sienna College polls is out . This Dem favoring poll has the race at a tie.
Cross-Tabs: Late October 2024 Times/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate - The New York Times

At this date in the 2020 race ,Clueless Joe had a 9 point lead.