
Originally Posted by
excon
Hello gal:
Funny! The CBO (non partisan congressional budget office) says the bill will REDUCE the deficit by $180 billion in the next 10 years, and over a TRILLION in the following 10 years.
Let me see. Should I believe a right wing organization who ISN'T in favor of the bill, or should I believe the non partisan bureaucrats who scored the bill?
YOU believe who you want to, and I'll believe who I want to.
Excon
PS> By the way, the first Bush tax cut ADDED over a TRILLION $$$'s to the deficit. How come you weren't a deficit hawk then?? The NEXT Bush tax cut added MORE to the deficit, I didn't hear a peep from you. Medicare Part D, that Bush passed, added even MORE to the deficit. You?? Nothing!! His wars added even more, but you were ready to invade.
So, NOW you're a deficit hawk?? I understand - really, I do.
Is this the same CBO that underestimated Medicare part D cost:
Updated Estimates of Spending for the Medicare Prescription Drug Program
CBO currently estimates that net Medicare spending for the Part D program will total $593 billion over the 2004-2013 period. That is an increase of $41 billion over the original $552 billion estimate of net Medicare spending for Part D
How about the original Medicare estimates?
The Medicare Monster - Reason Magazine
The two primary lessons of Medicare are the chronic problem of woefully underestimating program costs and the impossibility of genuine cost control. A closer look at Medicare shows why these two problems are certain to plague a government-administered universal health-care plan.
The cost of Medicare is a good place to begin. At its start, in 1966, Medicare cost $3 billion. The House Ways and Means Committee estimated that Medicare would cost only about $ 12 billion by 1990 (a figure that included an allowance for inflation). This was a supposedly "conservative" estimate. But in 1990 Medicare actually cost $107 billion.
This was written 17 years ago. I don't even want to know what an update would be like.
Then we have universal healthcare lite in Massachusettes
ER visits and health care costs rise in Massachusetts due to lack of primary care access | KevinMD.com
What a success? In lowering costs? In providing true access to healthcare not just insurance.
It does not take much smarts to realize :
1] medicare and medicaid, government run programs, have not been able to control costs, nor provide guaranteed access to actual healthcare. What percent of physicians accept medicare and or medicaid? It is far from 100%. To think that an extension of medicare and medicaid to all the uninsured, is then going to be able to reduce cost or provide actual access to healthcare, especially if there is no "doctor fix," is absurd. Why rely on estimates of future costs when we have examples of how ineffective medicare, medicaid, medicare D are at containing costs; and that is not even broaching the subject of their solvency in the next 10 or more years.
2] Providing care to an additional 30 million people while theoretically not increasing costs WILL RESULT IN RATIONING AND LONGER WAITING LISTS. This will be further worsened by a shortage of healthcare providers:
Doctors retiring, students deciding not to go into medicine, doctors not accepting the government system.
3] to pay for this will result in HIGHER TAXES. Speaking of which: how can they tax immediately, yet the benefits don't start for 3-4 years? Is this legal? Can you imagine making a car or house payments for a year before actually driving the car or living in the house?!
G&P