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  • Jul 24, 2012, 02:50 PM
    MeestaD
    Probability Problem
    Been stuck on a problem with probability. Question goes as follows:

    Three balls are drawn at random without replacement from a box containing 8 white, 4 black and 4 red balls. Calculate the probabilities that there will be:

    i) at least one white ball
    ii) two white balls and once black ball
    iii) two balls of one colour and the other of a different colour
    iv) one ball of each colour

    I can do i) and I calculate the inverse of it. I count 16 x 15 x 14 total outcomes with 8 ways of choosing first ball, 7 for second and 6 for third. Hence:



    Having trouble thinking my way around the others though. I think I would need to use permutations as opposed to combinations to work say ii) out as W,W,B, W,B,W and W,W,B all count as possible outcomes for the event I am interested in.

    I'm starting to get confused by it all. I'd appreciate any hints or advice on how to approach this problem.
  • Jul 25, 2012, 12:41 AM
    Unknown008
    Well, you can always work your way with 'traditionally'.

    WWB = 8/16 * 7/15 * 4/14
    WBW = 8/16 * 4/15 * 7/14
    BWW = 4/16 * 8/15 * 7/14

    And then adding all three. You might immediately see a pattern here ;)

    Combinations-wise:
    Ways of picking 2 W = 8C2
    Ways of picking 1 B = 4C1
    Ways of picking any 3 balls = 16C3

    The probability becomes 1/5 either way. :)
  • Jul 26, 2012, 06:22 AM
    MeestaD
    Ok, I think I see your reasoning. For question iii) though, would this involve repeating the process in ii) for all possible combinations of 2 coloured balls and 1 other and then adding them together to find the union? Or am I missing a more sophisticated way of doing this?



    I’m really trying to build the link between when to use permutations/combinations for a variety of probability scenarios such as this. Does anyone know of a good resource (maybe YouTube video, document, or website page) that explains this?
  • Jul 26, 2012, 06:31 AM
    ebaines
    Quote:

    Originally Posted by MeestaD View Post
    Ok, I think I see your reasoning. For question iii) though, would this involve repeating the process in ii) for all possible combinations of 2 coloured balls and 1 other and then adding them together to find the union?

    That's correct, but it's a little easier to think of combinations of two ball of one color and 1 ball that's not that color. In other words:

    2 blacks + 1 non-black
    2 wites + 1 non-white
    2 reds + 1 non-red

    This is a little easier than worrying all possible color combinations.
  • Jul 27, 2012, 09:10 AM
    MeestaD
    Right OK, I see that now as well. The thing is, I’m getting very confused as to when to use permutations or combinations for a probability problem. To give another example, suppose I want to know all possible outcomes of picking 3 numbers from 0,1,2,…,9 where each number can only be chosen once.

    Would this be written as 10 x 9 x 8 total outcomes?

    In order to calculate all possible numbers formed, say where 123, 231 and 321 are different numbers, would you use the permutations method? (10 P 3)

    If interested in the collection of numbers, where 123, 321 and 231 are equivalent, would you use the combinations method? (10 C 3)
  • Jul 27, 2012, 09:23 AM
    MeestaD
    Oh, I've just realised that 10 P 3 is the same as 10 x 9 x 8.
  • Jul 27, 2012, 12:40 PM
    Unknown008
    Quote:

    In order to calculate all possible numbers formed, say where 123, 231 and 321 are different numbers, would you use the permutations method? (10 P 3)
    Right.

    Quote:

    If interested in the collection of numbers, where 123, 321 and 231 are equivalent, would you use the combinations method? (10 C 3)
    Right again :)

    Note that in both cases, you are treating numbers starting with '0', such as 012, as a valid number.
  • Aug 1, 2012, 01:55 PM
    Tarlika Persaud
    I need to calculate the following:
    I have 21 different objects that need to be combined in groups of 3. The problem is that the objects are repeatable. I don't know how to do this.
  • Aug 1, 2012, 02:14 PM
    ebaines
    Quote:

    Originally Posted by Tarlika Persaud View Post
    I need to calculate the following:
    I have 21 different objects that need to be combined in groups of 3. The problem is that the objects are repeatable. I dont know how to do this.

    You need to be more specific with your question - what exactly are you trying to do? What do you mean by objects being "repeatable?"

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