DrBill100, can I pass an EtG test 66 hours after last drink?
I tested exactly 66 hours and 30 minutes after finishing my last drink. I urinated about 20 minutes prior to taking the test, in order to completely clear my bladder one last time before testing.
I drank approximately 20 drinks between 11 am and 9:30 pm. Never got drunk, just maintained a relaxed feeling. Prior to testing, I ran approximately 18 miles(over the 2 and 1/2 days between last drink and testing). I drank lots of coffee, lots of green tea, and took lots of vitamins, including niacin supplements. I eat healthy and take vitamins on a regular basis. I drink adequate amounts of water daily.
I am very active and healthy. 37 years old, muscular. I work out on a daily basis, lifting weights and usually running 5 to 7 miles per day. I've done the calculations, and with EtG levels as great as 10,000,000 (which, to my knowledge, is extremely high), I've calculated that I should be able to pass using a half-life of 4 hours (which is actually higher than the average of around 3 hours). DrBill100, do you think it's possible to pass the test?
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I saw a previous post, indicating that 33oz of beer could produce up to 67,000 ng/ml. In order to assure I am covering any metabolic increase in production of EtG, I simply assumed that I would produce 500,000 ng/ml (which I'm thinking would be high, but I may be incorrect on this assumption? ). If I had 20 drinks, then my EtG level would be 10,000,000 ng/ml. To reach a level below 500 would take between 15 and 16 half-life's. From research, I learned that the half-life is around 3 hours on average. So, to be safe, I calculate the half-life at 4 hours. For 15, that would be approximately 60 hours. For 16, that would be approximately 64 hours. I realize this is a very simple way to look at it, but I figure it would give me a general idea. I used http://www.fsijournal.org/article/S0379-0738(09)00132-7/abstract to assume I'd have a half-life of no more than 4 hours. I figure the exercise and my general fitness would have to play a part in the outcome. Do you agree?
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Also, I'm assuming that my body would have been eliminating the alcohol and EtG as the day progressed. It averaged out to about 2 drinks per hour (and actually less, but I'm hitting the high to be safe) over approximately 10 hours. After 3 pm, I only drank about 10 drinks till I stopped at 9:30 pm... and this is measuring 4 oz of 11% white wine as being one drink, mixed with sierra mist.
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One last comment... I read an EtG guidance document posted online from the company that oversees the testing. In that document it indicates that the third party administrator encourages monitoring programs to view anything less than 1500 ng/ml as possibly being caused by incidental exposure and that drinking relapse should only be considered in levels over 1500 ng/ml. So, I assume that 500 is the cutoff, but that there is room to "maneuver" up to 1500. The form indicated that they encourage programs to not use cutoff's below 500.
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In response to the BAC, for various reasons I will not get into here, I am pretty confident that my metabolism of ethanol is quite elevated. Further, I am positive my BAC wouldn't have been above .10 to .15. I feel confident that my BAC was down to or close to 0 by 2:00 am. That would make my total time for EtG excretion approximately 61 hours. However, most of the research I've read uses time from last drink as compared to BAC being 0. In heavier drinking episodes, there seems to be a reduction of about 8 to 10 hours if time to test is measured from a 0 BAC as compared to time of last drink.
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Thanks for the information. Hopefully, my activity level will pay off. I'm not feeling to encouraged at the minute. Not that it matters, but I was calculating half-life by dividing the EtG level in half until I reached the closest point under 500. I multiplied the number of times I divided the half-life by 4.
Starting with 10,000,000
1- 5,000,000
2- 2,500,000
3- 1,250,000
4- 625,000
5- 312,500
6- 78,125
7- 39,063
8- 19,532
9- 9,766
10- 4,883
11- 2,441
12- 1,221
13- 610
14- 305
In the above, it took 14 times to get below 500. So 14 multiplied by a half life of 4 hours would be approximately 56 hours. In my thought, it meant that it would take 56 hours to reach a level of 305 in the above example.
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In regards to the program administrator question, I'd rather not name the agency, but it is a third party administrator of random drug screens for a monitoring board. It is a national company. In a document I found online from that company, providing EtG Guidance, it strongly encourages monitoring boards to never use levels less than 500 and that anything up to 1500 should be evaluated for possible incidental exposure. The document actually encourages monitoring boards to use 1500 as the level for considering drinking relapse. I also read a document from a monitoring board in Maryland that cited this document in the review of a practitioners multiple EtG infractions. The person had EtG over 2000 in all cases, and the board's review indicated that since the levels were over 1500, there was no chance that it was incidental exposure. Not sure if that's good or bad, especually since this test seemingly needs much more research completed and uniformity in its standards.
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Thanks for all your input. I truly appreciate it. I feel confident that my metabolic rate for ethanol excretion is closer to .20. I guess I'm paranoid, and rightfully so. I will definitely not put myself through this stress, worry and anxiety again. I didn't know that I'm being EtG tested till now, and never have been for almost 2 years. Regardless, only time will tell. My prayer is that I can pass this one, and then NEVER get myself in this situation again.
In your opinion, do you think I can be relatively assured that I have a high probability of having a level between 500 and 1000? I'm pretty confident I can work with the program if it is less than 1500, and more so confident if my level is 1000 or less. That is especially true since I have documentation from the actual third party administrator my program uses.
Again, thanks for all your time. I'll let you know the results when I find out. The waiting is killing me!
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One last question, DrBill100. I overestimated the number of drinks I had on purpose just to be safe. If I actually only drank 15 - 16 drinks, how would that affect the time? Would there be that great of change with a reduction of 4 or 5 drinks?
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As of this evening, I have not been contacted by an MRO. The test was imported into the system as being completed 6 business days ago. I took it late in the day 10 business days ago. It would have been transported to for testing 9 business days ago.
Unfortunately, the test only shows up as being completed. It doesn't provide the results in the system. Regardless, I assume the MRO would surely have contacted me by now if the test were positive? I'm relieved, but still cautious. Apparently, the hydration, working out, and vitamin supplements worked. I don't intend to press my luck, though. It's not worth the stress! Clean slate going forward...