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-   -   Probability (https://www.askmehelpdesk.com/showthread.php?t=515517)

  • Oct 10, 2010, 10:24 PM
    sirinivas
    probability
    The probability that a player A wins a game against B is 0.7.The players may play either "a best of 3 games" or "a best of 5 games". If A has been asked to choose,
    then which option should he choose,so that he wins the match?
  • Oct 10, 2010, 10:32 PM
    Unknown008

    You need to find the expected number of wins over 3 and over 5 games.

    Expectation is given by

    where n is the number of trials (games) and p the probability of winning the game.

    Can you complete it now? The one with the higher expectation is the better.

    Post what you get! :)
  • Oct 10, 2010, 11:18 PM
    sirinivas

    Can u explain it briefly
  • Oct 10, 2010, 11:27 PM
    Unknown008

    Let's have an example.

    When you throw an arrow, you have a probability of 0.9 of hitting the bullseye. When you throw 10 arrows, you will expect that (10 x 0.9) = 9 arrows will hit the bullseye and 1 will miss. 9 is the 'winning' expectation.

    Now you do the same with your problem.

    The one where the expectation is the highest is the better.
  • Oct 11, 2010, 01:02 AM
    sirinivas
    probabilty
    The probability that a player A wins a game against B is 0.7.The layerd may play either "a best of 3 games" or a best of five games". If A has been asked to choose, then which option should he choose, so that he wins the match?

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