Heat losses about 2-3X what installers want to install
I've done quit a bit of work sealing air leaks, dual pane vinyl windows, re-sealing ducts ,etc. to my 2100 sq ft 2- story house in San Diego. My house was built in 1987 and has one of the first 82% carriers, 95,000 btu/hr input. Even without all the upgrades the furnace was a bit too large for this house. Now with the upgrades on about the worst case day in my location (41 outside, 68 inside, call it 30 deg delta) the furnace only runs for maybe 15-18 minutes max out of every hr. My many heat load calcs, manual, program and furnace run times lead me to believe that my max heat load is just a bit less than 30 K btu/hr. All of the local installers I've talked to want to install 60-70 kbtu/hr furnaces (input and 90+%).
I thought I wanted modulating or 2-stage also for comfort and before visiting this site I thought this oversizing would be OK. The installers also wanted to install another 4 ton AC. Given a 4 ton AC I can understand the need for a larger furnace to provide enough air flow in cooling. My calc also said less than 3 tons would be more than adequate. So it seems I've done too good of a job making my house more efficient. Combine that with our light heating loads in San Diego and it seems there isn't a small enough furnace to fill the bill for me. Even the smaller 45 Kbtu/hr furnaces seem to be too large. Unless I add more rooms, increase the winter indoor themperature, or the winters get a lot worse here I'm not sure what to do.
Any thoughts or suggestions? Thanks