violation of probation 1st time with 1st drug charge offense
OK so here is the situation: 2 years ago this December a friend of mine was arrested for possession of cocaine with intent to sell, possession of marijauna, and possession of paraphonalia. He served 1 night in jail and was released on bond. When he went to court he was able to drop the charges down to a felony charge of possession of cocaine and pled adjudcated withheld. He was given 2 years probabtion or 18 months good behavior release since it was his first time and also had 50 work camp days to complete. This court date was in April 2007. He had the 2 years to do his work camp and pay his fines but once he signed up for work camp he had to follow the 1 time a week rule to attend camp. He signed up for work camp in September 2007 and did his days every weekend until the end of January 2008 straight non-stop. He also completed paying all his fees by February 2008. The rest of this year he has been checking in with his PO once a month. He has NEVER failed a drug test and has never VIOLATED! Last week his PO called his lawyer given clearance to start his early termination papers. He was told that if by nov 5th he had not yet received his early termination letter he still needed to check in. he went in today to check in and unfortunately failed his drug test. His PO stopped the processing on his early termination and said he would need to start the violation paper work. He is sending his test off to a lab and if it comes back positive he will be violated and eventually a warrant will be issued for his arrest. His lawyer informed him that he will more then likely have a warrant issued, it would be in his best interest to turn himself in, he would go to jail, appear before the judge in regards to his violation, have bond set, and then need to go to court to determine the state of his violation and the punishment. He was told that more than likely he would get the 30 days in jail and then at the end of that 30 days he would be off probation and the option to have the felony expunged and sealed may or may not be available anymore depending on the judge. My question is from this secenario what is the 99.9% likelihood of his punishment (jail, remaining on probation, or chance to get off seeing as paper work was already in the process, etc) and long term effect oh his life i.e. being a convicted felon, if it will be expunged and sealed, etc.