U.S. making new military gains in Iraq
Robert Burns
Associated Press
Aug. 7, 2007 12:00 AM
BAGHDAD - The new U.S. military strategy in Iraq, unveiled six months ago to little acclaim,
is working.
In two weeks of observing the U.S. military on the ground and interviewing commanders, strategists and intelligence officers, it's apparent that the war has entered a new phase in its fifth year.
It is a phase with fresh promise
yet the same old worry: Iraq may be too fractured to make whole.
No matter how well or how long the U.S. military carries out its counterinsurgency mission, it cannot guarantee victory.
Only the Iraqis can.
And to do so they probably need many more months of heavy U.S.-military involvement.
It's been an uphill struggle from the start to build Iraqi-security forces that are able to fight and able to divorce themselves from deep-rooted-sectarian loyalties. It is the latter requirement that is furthest from being fulfilled.
There is no magic formula for success. And magic is what it may take to turn military gains into the strategy's ultimate goal: a political process that moves Iraq's rival Sunnis, Shiites and Kurds from the brink of civil war to the threshold of peace - and to get there on a timetable that takes account of growing war fatigue in the United States.
Efforts at Iraqi reconciliation saw another blow Monday: Five Cabinet ministers loyal to Iraq's first post-Saddam Hussein leader decided to boycott government meetings, further deepening a crisis that threatens Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki.
U.S.-military leaders want Congress and President Bush to give them more time to keep trying - to reach a point, perhaps in 2009, when the Iraqis will be closer to reconciliation and ready to provide much of their own security.
U.S. officers insist it is unrealistic to expect the Iraqis to resolve their problems in a matter of months. And they argue that withdrawing would only lead to bigger problems, for the U.S. and for Iraq.
That is likely to be the message that Ambassador Ryan Crocker and Gen. David Petraeus, the top U.S. officials in Iraq, convey to Congress and to Bush in September. They are in no position to predict how long it might take the Iraqi government to achieve reconciliation, but they are likely to concede, if asked, that if the Iraqis do not take key steps in the months ahead the entire U.S. approach may unravel.