Every country with universal health coverage has a larger percentage of primary care physicians [ pcps] [ internal medicine, pediatricians, family practice, OB-GYN, some may include general surgery ] than specialists, this is not true in the US. The US is perhaps top heavy in specialists ] The US will have and does have a shortfall of pcps, especially in rural areas. Specialists make more money and because reimbursement is rewarded for the more you do, especially procedures, rather than the more you think, for which all that schooling is required, areas with a high percentage of specialists tend to be higher in healthcare expenditures. Pcps also deal more with preventative health and management of chronic illnesses like diabetes and high blood pressure. It is cheaper and better for the person to have a pcp manage and control such things as high blood pressure and diabetes, thus preventing or delaying a complication, like a heart attack. The cardiologist generally does not see the person till after they have had a complication, like a heart attack. In other words, prevention and disease management by pcps is better and cheaper than the needed specialist care for a complication.
I say this because.with the aging baby boomer population this compunds the problem of a shortage of pcps. "free " universal health care will only increase the demand for pcps. Cash for clunkers demonstrates this.
The question is, where are all the pcps going to come from?
Only 2% of medical school students say they are going into primary care? Are 98% greedy money grubbing sobs? No doubt some are, every group of people hhas them.
Factor in, more women are in medicine than a generation ago, women tend to work less hours than men and are still mom to children, the time demands of being a pcps are huge, so a lot of students will choose "lifestyle" - less hours [ < 50 per week ] in fields like radiology, opthamology, dermatology rather than in primary care.
Factor in large student debt not only from medical school but also undergraduate college. Imagine having to pay easily over $ 1000 dollars a month on school loans.
Factor in that there are easier ways to make potenetially more money- like banking. Getting an MBA is shorter, though may be as difficult, than getting an MD
G&P