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The 1996-97 National Firearms Agreement (NFA) in Australia introduced strict gun
Laws, primarily as a reaction to the mass shooting in Port Arthur, Tasmania in 1996,
Where 35 people were killed. Despite the fact that several researchers using the same
Data have examined the impact of the NFA on firearm deaths, a consensus does not
Appear to have been reached. In this paper, we re-analyze the same data on firearm
Deaths used in previous research, using tests for unknown structural breaks as a means
To identifying impacts of the NFA. The results of these tests suggest that the NFA did
Not have any large effects on reducing firearm homicide or suicide rates
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under the 1996 National Firearms Agreement (NFA) these were all but banned. At huge cost, the government bought from their owners some 650,000 of the newly prohibited guns, which police destroyed. It also implemented mandatory gun licenses and registration of all firearms, helping to restrict to 5% of the population the number of Australian adults who owned or used guns last year, down from 7% in 1996.
But these changes have done nothing to reduce gun-related deaths, according to Samara McPhedran, a University of Sydney academic and coauthor of a soon-to-be-published paper that reviews a selection of previous studies on the effects of the 1996 legislation. The conclusions of these studies were "all over the place," says McPhedran. But by pulling back and looking purely at the statistics, the answer "is there in black and white," she says. "The hypothesis that the removal of a large number of firearms owned by civilians [would lead to fewer gun-related deaths] is not borne out by the evidence."
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