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  • Mar 13, 2013, 07:35 AM
    talaniman
    Well maintained old nukes are effective if needed. Bet you can't tell if its an old nuke, or new one that's being exploded over your head.
  • Mar 13, 2013, 07:56 AM
    paraclete
    Quote:

    Originally Posted by tomder55 View Post
    with Obama depleting existing stock and not even upgrading what's left ;we will have about 1000 aged and deteriorating nukes for our umbrella .

    More than enough, you only need one for NK, beyond Pongyang there is nothing, besides your fleet of aircraft carriers is more than equal to the task, talk about a belt and braces approach to life
  • Mar 13, 2013, 08:11 AM
    tomder55
    Quote:

    Originally Posted by talaniman View Post
    Well maintained old nukes are effective if needed. Bet you can't tell if its an old nuke, or new one thats being exploded over your head.

    Oh if only our enemies thought in terms of reductionism. If Zero pursues his dream of a nuclear free world, Japan, South Korea and other countries long sheltered under America's atomic umbrella will have urgent second thoughts. He (and you apparently )do not comprehend that unilateral U.S. strategic weapons reductions are as likely to encourage nuclear proliferation as reduce it.
  • Mar 13, 2013, 08:31 AM
    talaniman
    That fear may well be so, but everyone you take off the black market is one less to worry about. We have been here before with India, and Pakistan, remember? I am not saying be less alert about the saber rattling of NK, but don't panic, or let our allies, and protected countries panic either.

    What should we do? Sell SK, and Japan nukes, or nuke NK? That would be escalation.
  • Mar 13, 2013, 05:50 PM
    paraclete
    No Tal let each progess according to their policy. Possession of nukes doesn't necessarily mean they will be used. Perhaps there is need for a deterrent on the doorstep in Asia. India and Pakistan have their problems but they haven't launched into all out war. Japan and SK should counter NK and present Kim Jung Uncool with a believable prospect of obliteration and just maybe it might be a counter to recent Chinese aggression
  • Mar 28, 2013, 09:38 PM
    paraclete
    That mouse is roaring again. Kim Jong Uncool wants to kill everyone, but the person he wants to kill is just too far away so he has cut the hot line, now that person does not exist.

    What I don't get is how this maniac thinks he can win, at best all he will get is a waste land. He might have an army of millions but he has no real ability to transport them anywhere other than a short walk south. You would think that history might have taught him something. The last time the US confronted North Korea it ended in stalemate and devistation
  • Mar 29, 2013, 03:09 AM
    tomder55
    The Kim Dynasty have always ushered in a new wave of violence and bloodshed to gain legitimacy . This time Kim's toys have gotten much deadlier. It's bad enough that the NRKS have advanced their nuke program to a point that they successfully detonated a test ,and have successfully tested staged ballistic missiles... but the bigger problem is that the
    12ers in Tehran are financing the whole enterprise and will benefit from the technology transfer . The pathway to an Iranian nuke can be traced back to the NORKS ;to Pakistan ;to China. Out of control proliferation has China's fingerprints all over it.
  • Mar 29, 2013, 01:58 PM
    paraclete
    I don't think the Chinese stupid enough to want another state in their region with the bomb, particularly not an unstable one like NK
  • Mar 29, 2013, 02:14 PM
    talaniman
    I think the young new leader has to at least talk tough or his own will eat him for lunch. I mean if he can' yell at the west and let them be the enemy, then his own people will will act on their empty bellies and then where will China be?
  • Mar 29, 2013, 02:17 PM
    paraclete
    I don't think the chinese would be concerned by regime change in NK, it would be another good market for them if it opened up and they could do with less tension in the region
  • Mar 29, 2013, 07:07 PM
    paraclete
    Officially on NK's part at least - a state of war exists

    North Korea declares a state of war as attack plan glimpsed in background | News.com.au

    NK is advancing its brinkmanship, so if SK so much as blink it will be a provocation. It appears the US gun boat up the river tactics of last week went down like a lead balloon in NK. It was polite of them to tell us all this time, instead of just attacking
  • Mar 29, 2013, 07:42 PM
    tomder55
    Yeah blame America .
    Quote:

    [W]e do have one pretty good metric with which to judge the country's intentions: the Kaesong Industrial Complex. The Kaesong Industrial Complex, located just across the northern side of the border, is staffed by South and North Koreans. It can't function without Pyongyang's daily okay. If the North suddenly shuts down Kaesong at some point, watch out. But as long as it's still running, as it has been throughout the provocations and tensions of the last few weeks, we can probably – probably — assume that North Korea is not actually planning to launch a war.
    A very good sign that North Korea is bluffing about war
  • Mar 30, 2013, 01:01 AM
    paraclete
    Well if the caps fits, wear it. Your actions, once again were unhelpfull. Do you think they weren't aware of your capabilities. No, you had to remind them at the wrong time. You don't have a diplomatic bone in your body, you have to always play the bully
  • Mar 30, 2013, 02:48 AM
    tomder55
    Yeah diplomacy has worked so well in the past . The language that bullies like the un-Kim understand is a punch in the mouth ;not sweet talk concessions by Jean Francois Kerry and his ilk.
    http://www.theatlanticwire.com/globa...warning/63706/
  • Mar 30, 2013, 03:52 AM
    paraclete
    No Tom it hasn't worked in sixty years
  • Apr 2, 2013, 05:58 AM
    tomder55
    The Chinese have increased its military posture along the North Korean border including troop movements and warplane activity. They are now conducting unscheduled exercises in the Yellow Sea that includes 'live fire' on Vietnamese fishing vessels ; and amphibious assault exercises 80 km from Malaysia .

    Russian President Vladdy Putin ordered a surprise military exercise from his presidential jet on a flight home from the BRICS meeting in South Africa. It is being conducted in the Black Sea .
    Quote:

    Chinese President Xi Jinping told his South Korean counterpart on Wednesday that Beijing is willing to help reconciliation between South and North Korea, the foreign ministry said.

    "China is willing to provide the necessary assistance to advance South-North reconciliation and cooperation," Xi told President Park Geun-Hye in a phone call, according to a statement on the ministry website.
    China willing to help with Korea reconciliation - The West Australian
    By reconcilliation ,he means a take over of South Korea.
    Quote:

    "If there is any provocation against South Korea and its people, there should be a strong response in initial combat without any political considerations," South Korean President Park Geun-hye told the defense minister and senior officials at a meeting on Monday.
    South Korea vows fast response to North; U.S. positions destroyer | Reuters
    Park's mother was killed by a North Korean assassin's bullet that was intended for her father .I don't think she will back down from the NORKS intimidations .
    Quote:

    Stung by criticism that its response to the shelling of a South Korean island in 2010 was tardy and weak, Seoul has also threatened to target North Korean leader Kim Jong-un and to destroy statues of the ruling Kim dynasty in the event of any new attack, a plan that has outraged Pyongyang.
    Like 1950 ;this situation is one spark away from spiraling out of control.
  • Apr 2, 2013, 02:01 PM
    paraclete
    Quote:

    Like 1950 ;this situation is one spark away from spiraling out of control.
    Tom we don't know if this is about internal NK politics or something else. The santions have been unhelpful because they don't elicit the required response. Undoubtedly the NK see it as we have tried to talk to these people but they just push us further all the time, while the US sees it as the NK are intractiable. The south hasn't stopped giving aid to the north. What China does it does for its own purposes, it can't afford a war, it is not isolated now as it was in 1950. Reunification may be a good thing and it doesn't need to be a northern take over, China understands the benefits of a market economy
  • Apr 2, 2013, 03:39 PM
    tomder55
    Good ;then let the Chinese do a regime change on the Kim dynasty . You make it sound that the Kims are the puppet master instead of the other way around.
    Quote:

    China understands the benefits of a market economy
    keep deluding yourself . What they have is a failed Potamkin economy that is about to have the mother of all bubble bursts . The only leverage they will have is muscle... and that is why they have been flexing it so freely these last few years .
  • Apr 2, 2013, 04:04 PM
    paraclete
    If China fails then we are all in trouble. No economy is isolated from any other in this world except maybe NK. China knows we need them but they need us also. You want to laugh at them but they have sustained growth and in doing so they have changed their economy and upgraded their inferstructure as well as commencing new industries. The way they are organised is different to your economy they have a longer term view and an energy you can only envy
  • Apr 3, 2013, 10:30 AM
    tomder55
    The NORKS closed access to the Kaesong Industrial Park.
    Experts said that we shouldn't take seriously the harsh rhetoric coming from the un-Kim as long as long Kaesong was in operation. Thus, this news is very bad indeed.
  • Apr 3, 2013, 01:52 PM
    paraclete
    Tom I agree that escalation in any form is bad news. NK is punishing the South because they are the only available non military target. It is tit-for-tat diplomacy, you sanction us, we sanction you. That has what it has been so far, we take away your prizes so you will talk to us and show us respect. This is an oriental head thing
  • Apr 3, 2013, 02:09 PM
    paraclete
    Quote:

    We enter the era of the suitcase bomb
    North Korea declares it has given approval for a nuclear attack on the United States | News.com.au

    NK's rhetoric has entered a new phase, they are no longer talking about striking the US with rockets but about more sophisticated means or perhaps like the movie an incursion into the US itself.
  • Apr 5, 2013, 05:35 AM
    tomder55
    The US deploys advanced missile defense ,the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense System (THAAD), in Guam . The President ordered an increase in our ground based interceptor force in Alaska ;and the deployment of two destroyers equipped with Aegis missile defense systems, the Decatur and the John McCain.

    Secretary Chuck Hagel said the NORKS represent a "present a real and clear danger." Those are not just words to be dismissed lightly. That's because threats by the un-Kim to nuke the US has to be taken seriously. They successfully tested a nuclear device recently ;and they also successfully launched a 3 stage rocket out of the atmosphere . If they were to successfully launch a multi-stage rocket that was even carrying a low grade nuke;and were able to successfully detonate it over the continental US at a high altitude ;the resulting EMP could fry electronics throughout the US.
    Quote:

    The damage level could be sufficient to be catastrophic to the Nation, and our current vulnerability invites attack.
    —EMP Commission Report, 2004
    Critical national security and homeland defense missions are at an unacceptably high risk of extended outage from failure of the electric grid.
    —Defense Science Board, Feb 2008
    Quote:

    There is very little in the way of back-up capability to the electric grid (upon
    Which the communications infrastructure is vitally dependent). Individual
    Homes rarely have an independent source of electric power, industry has
    Some continuity of operations (COOP) capability, and essential services
    Such as hospitals are required to have a few days of auxiliary power to
    Sustain them off the power grid. The likely scenarios caused by solar
    Storms and EMP forecast a power grid loss for many times longer than
    Current backup power sources, maybe even a year or more if a significant
    Number of high power transformers are destroyed and would have to be remanufactured.
    In some cases, such grid components are manufactured offshore
    Causing even more delay. The net effect of the collapse of the electric
    Grid is that communities would become localized and insular. They would
    Be disconnected from the more regional conditions, the possibility of
    Outside assistance such as food and medicine, and the chances of recovery
    To normal. One group even explored that there might be no return to
    Normal as was previously known.
    Quote:

    There is little in the way of preparation for the loss of the electric grid.
    Although there actually is a significant amount of information in the form
    Of literature, websites, and planning from the local government to the
    Federal agency level, there has been little effort in the form of individual
    Preparation and rehearsal for such an event. This includes the stockpiling
    Of food and survival kits to include radios in Faraday protection boxes with
    Batteries and first aid supplies. Preparing for months without a commercial
    Source of clean water (city water pressure is often dependent on electric
    Pumping to storage towers) and stoppage of sewage treatment facilities
    Will require new methods of survival particularly in populated areas.
    http://www.csl.army.mil/usacsl/publi.../InTheDark.pdf

    Note how no one in the left speaks in mocking terms about 'Star Wars' technology these days.
  • Apr 6, 2013, 01:50 PM
    tomder55
    OK so the AP quotes State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland that this crisis give Zero the chance to open up to China.
    "The issue here is to continue to recognize that the threats we share are common, and the approaches are more likely to be more effective if we can work well together,"
    Quote:

    North Korea's latest outburst of nuclear and military threats has given the U.S. a rare opportunity to build bridges with China — a potential silver lining to the simmering crisis that could revitalize the Obama administration's flagging policy pivot to Asia .
    President Barack Obama recently called China's new president, Xi Jinping, as part of an effort to brief the Chinese about American plans to take steps to deter the threats coming from the North, The New York Times reported on its website Friday night...
    KRudd echoed the sentiment
    China and the US have chance to rebuild trust: Kevin Rudd | Mackay Daily Mercury
    He sees a "unique window" for the US to take the lead in the trust dept. In other words Zero should do a Clintoon and share our capabilities I mean ;what better way to close said deficit than to brief China on US military deployments and explaining to the Chinese just what our capabilities are?
    After all the Russians are telling the world that the US build up in Korea is not about the NORKSat all ;but about China.
    Obama's Korean Peninsula 'Game' Strategy - English pravda.ru

    WSJ says that this flare-up and posturing is a win-win for China.
    By China putting the squeeze on the NORKS (who are probably acting at the direction of China anyway) they hope for reciprocal moved by Zero regarding the recent Chinese -Tokyo tensions .
    Quote:

    What does Beijing gain from demonstrating goodwill to Washington though? China's action may be meant to suggest that if it can act tough with North Korea, the U.S. can show a similar attitude toward its biggest treaty ally in Asia-Japan.

    The true target of Beijing's actions then may not be Pyongyang at all, but rather Tokyo. Since the Japanese government nationalized the Senkaku Islands in September, Beijing-which calls the barren rocks Diaoyus-has sought to demonize and isolate its neighbor. It accuses Tokyo of harboring imperial ambitions, nurturing ultranationalist sentiments and endangering regional stability.
    Nana Rolland: North Korean Pawn in a Chinese Chess Game - WSJ.com
    Under this scenario ; The NORKS ramp up pressure under Chinese marching orders . Then the US gives privy to the Chinese about our deployments to counter the aggression. The Chinese reign in the NORKS ,and in exchange Zero puts pressure on Japan to mend their ways. Gee what could go wrong ?

    But we can be tranquil and thankful and proud
    for man's been endowed with a mushroom shaped cloud.
    And we know for certain that some lovely day
    someone will set the spark off
    and we will all be blown away.

    (Kingston Trio 'The Merry Minuet')
  • Apr 7, 2013, 01:32 PM
    talaniman
    Saber rattling and being provocative has always gotten the NORKS what they wanted in the past, but this time he is being ignored as well he should be. As long as we are ready for anything dumb he intends on doing.
  • Apr 8, 2013, 02:30 AM
    paraclete
    And China made it plain it doesn't want others playing in its back yard
  • Apr 8, 2013, 05:13 AM
    talaniman
    Then they better talk to this young guy.
  • Apr 8, 2013, 05:23 AM
    tomder55
    China is calling the shots.. we like to pretend that they don't .
  • Apr 8, 2013, 06:04 AM
    talaniman
    This proxy stuff is getting old.
  • Apr 8, 2013, 06:30 AM
    paraclete
    Well who's the proxy you think NK is the chinese proxy, no that is a dangerous game and one China cannot afford to loose, but they can afford to loose NK
  • Apr 9, 2013, 10:31 PM
    paraclete
    The North Koreans have now escalated to closing the border and asking foriegners to leave even though things are quiet inside the country. This has real parallels with WWII when the Japanese found themselves restricted. We need to be conscious of oriental thinking, this is all about the prestige of the leader, perhaps if BO invited him to Washington for talks it would all blow over
  • Apr 9, 2013, 10:39 PM
    talaniman
    Screw them. If they want to seriously talk about something they can do it like a civilized society. All this bluster to make a point is stupid.
  • Apr 9, 2013, 10:48 PM
    paraclete
    I agree but apparently the US and NK talk all the time through back channels so it is just bluster it is just that the north koreans shout loader when they are doing it. Noisy little buggers aren't they
  • Apr 10, 2013, 12:19 AM
    paraclete
    As I said before it all about internal politics, it's just that the US is a convenient target for NK rhetoric

    Former top N Korean spy shares insight into regime - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)
  • Apr 10, 2013, 03:31 AM
    tomder55
    Up until yesterday I agreed with the US response. But yesterday they signaled through their independent media mouthpiece that the US response to aggression would be measured an proportional. That is a huge mistake. It should be made clear to un-Kim that there will be a heavy price for aggression.
  • Apr 10, 2013, 02:29 PM
    paraclete
    What they are saying Tom is; you fire one, we will fire one and one is all it takes.

    Thing is; if 1 million NK soldiers cross the border, the US is not in a position to make a proportional response
  • Apr 10, 2013, 02:39 PM
    tomder55
    No they are talking about you shell an island ,the SK will shell and island . Again Emperor 0 leading from behind. Now the un Kim knows how far he can take this. I would've told him instead that if we see evidence of one of those missiles he moved to the coast being fueled for launch ;we will take it out on the ground.
  • Apr 10, 2013, 02:43 PM
    paraclete
    Ah a preemptive strike, reviving an old republican policy. No a proportional response is to fuel up a rocket.
  • Apr 10, 2013, 02:44 PM
    tomder55
    I'm not into proportional responses . I want him to fear attacking .
  • Apr 10, 2013, 02:51 PM
    paraclete
    Quote:

    Originally Posted by tomder55 View Post
    I'm not into proportional responses . I want him to fear attacking .

    Tom I'm sure he knows what MAD means just as you do, this is not about you (US) it is about his personal survival. I doubt he really believes the propaganda and the rhetoric but he has to talk tough, just like all dictators. Don't you remember how Saddam used to rave.

    He has done a lot to reinforce a message which is basically show us some respect

    Your namby pamby handling of this over years has got you to this situation

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