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    xotica's Avatar
    xotica Posts: 6, Reputation: 1
    New Member
     
    #1

    Dec 16, 2008, 06:26 PM
    Exponential Distribution
    Agustus and Bill are working at a pledge drive. During a quiet period,
    Agustus says 'Hey bill I'll bet you 2:1 that the phone rings in the next
    minute.' (I.e. if it rings in the next minute, Bill pays Agustus $2, if not
    Agustus pays Bill $1.) If the waiting time for the phone to ring next obeys
    the exponential distribution:

    f(x) {1/2e^-x/2 x>0
    { 0 otherwise

    What is Agustus' expected profit (or loss) from this bet?

    Apparently all I need integration for is to find the probability that the phone rings in the next minute. Then you have the probability that A wins, and you subtract from 1 to get
    the probability that B wins. However I don't know what the limits are and how it works out. Please help.
    galactus's Avatar
    galactus Posts: 2,271, Reputation: 282
    Ultra Member
     
    #2

    Dec 17, 2008, 04:16 PM
    Here is a hint:

    For an exponential distribution,



    In this case, it looks as if T=1 and

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