tomder55
Apr 11, 2023, 03:14 AM
In the last few weeks there have been a series of documents (hard copies ) that have been leaked on the net They cover a number of issues surrounding the Ukraine war .No body knows how many will be released ;who is leaking them or if they are real .
Given the reaction of the US administration I believe they are not fake.
Too many issues have been revealed to address in one posting . The REAL state of the Ukraine military ;how the US spies on friend and foe alike including South Korea, Israel and Ukraine. ;the state of NATO relations ; US penetration of Russia and Wagner group's operations ; US spying on Zelensky ;how some of the most guarded and sensitive secrets end up on the web, and specific Ukraine battle plans , are just some of the related issues .
The documents appeared online last month on the social media site 'Discord'. The on line photos show that the docs have been hastily removed from where they were stored ;possibly just shoved in pockets . They have classified and sensitive stamps on them.
They appear to be recent docs produced since mid-February .US is saying that some of the docs were altered . Is that true or is it an attempt at damage control ? We are getting the usual chorus of 'Russian disinformation' from war hawks .
The leak comes amid expectations of an impeding Ukraine counter-offensive once the weather improves. But some of the most disturbing revelations if the docs are true is of the readiness of Ukraine's forces . They seem to confirm what I have been suggesting for some time ..... that the Ukraine forces are in dire straits. They suggest war weariness. They suggest unsustainable and irreversible troop losses More than 100,000 casualties (death and wounded ) if the docs are to be believed .
Leaked documents detail dire assessments of Ukrainian army: reports | The Hill (https://thehill.com/policy/defense/3941106-leaked-documents-detail-dire-assessments-of-ukrainian-army-reports/)
What is true is that Russia has for months been preparing it's defensive lines for the upcoming offensive In particular, an extensive network of trenches and defenses was constructed and now extends across the border . Construction and expansion of several significant military bases also took place during the same period,
Ukraine's allies are divided between western NATO nations led by Macron of France ,who is begging for a negotiated settlement ;and more hawkish eastern NATO nations . It is not clear that NATO approves of an offensive into Crimea . Putin has called it a red line .
Now I'm no military genious . But it appears to me that a frontal assault on Crimea would be the equivalent of Pickett's Charge ... or even a similar assault on Crimea from the Brit experience.... the Charge of the Light Brigade. It is a very defensible terrain .
Ukraine has already cut off the water supply to Crimea . Completely destroying the Kersh bridge would leave Russia only the Black Sea to resupply.
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f9/%D0%9A%D1%80%D1%8B%D0%BC%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9_% D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82_13_%D1%81%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8 2%D1%8F%D0%B1%D1%80%D1%8F_2019_%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4% D0%B0_%281%29.jpg/300px-%D0%9A%D1%80%D1%8B%D0%BC%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9_% D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82_13_%D1%81%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8 2%D1%8F%D0%B1%D1%80%D1%8F_2019_%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4% D0%B0_%281%29.jpg
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c9/Kerch_Strait%2C_Ukraine%2C_Russia%2C_near_natural_ colors_satellite_image%2C_LandSat-5%2C_2011-08-30.jpg/250px-Kerch_Strait%2C_Ukraine%2C_Russia%2C_near_natural_ colors_satellite_image%2C_LandSat-5%2C_2011-08-30.jpg
From there Ukraine could harass Russian positions with drones and artillery . It would be a waste of manpower to assault it by land .
Given the reaction of the US administration I believe they are not fake.
Too many issues have been revealed to address in one posting . The REAL state of the Ukraine military ;how the US spies on friend and foe alike including South Korea, Israel and Ukraine. ;the state of NATO relations ; US penetration of Russia and Wagner group's operations ; US spying on Zelensky ;how some of the most guarded and sensitive secrets end up on the web, and specific Ukraine battle plans , are just some of the related issues .
The documents appeared online last month on the social media site 'Discord'. The on line photos show that the docs have been hastily removed from where they were stored ;possibly just shoved in pockets . They have classified and sensitive stamps on them.
They appear to be recent docs produced since mid-February .US is saying that some of the docs were altered . Is that true or is it an attempt at damage control ? We are getting the usual chorus of 'Russian disinformation' from war hawks .
The leak comes amid expectations of an impeding Ukraine counter-offensive once the weather improves. But some of the most disturbing revelations if the docs are true is of the readiness of Ukraine's forces . They seem to confirm what I have been suggesting for some time ..... that the Ukraine forces are in dire straits. They suggest war weariness. They suggest unsustainable and irreversible troop losses More than 100,000 casualties (death and wounded ) if the docs are to be believed .
Leaked documents detail dire assessments of Ukrainian army: reports | The Hill (https://thehill.com/policy/defense/3941106-leaked-documents-detail-dire-assessments-of-ukrainian-army-reports/)
What is true is that Russia has for months been preparing it's defensive lines for the upcoming offensive In particular, an extensive network of trenches and defenses was constructed and now extends across the border . Construction and expansion of several significant military bases also took place during the same period,
Ukraine's allies are divided between western NATO nations led by Macron of France ,who is begging for a negotiated settlement ;and more hawkish eastern NATO nations . It is not clear that NATO approves of an offensive into Crimea . Putin has called it a red line .
Now I'm no military genious . But it appears to me that a frontal assault on Crimea would be the equivalent of Pickett's Charge ... or even a similar assault on Crimea from the Brit experience.... the Charge of the Light Brigade. It is a very defensible terrain .
Ukraine has already cut off the water supply to Crimea . Completely destroying the Kersh bridge would leave Russia only the Black Sea to resupply.
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f9/%D0%9A%D1%80%D1%8B%D0%BC%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9_% D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82_13_%D1%81%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8 2%D1%8F%D0%B1%D1%80%D1%8F_2019_%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4% D0%B0_%281%29.jpg/300px-%D0%9A%D1%80%D1%8B%D0%BC%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9_% D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82_13_%D1%81%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8 2%D1%8F%D0%B1%D1%80%D1%8F_2019_%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4% D0%B0_%281%29.jpg
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c9/Kerch_Strait%2C_Ukraine%2C_Russia%2C_near_natural_ colors_satellite_image%2C_LandSat-5%2C_2011-08-30.jpg/250px-Kerch_Strait%2C_Ukraine%2C_Russia%2C_near_natural_ colors_satellite_image%2C_LandSat-5%2C_2011-08-30.jpg
From there Ukraine could harass Russian positions with drones and artillery . It would be a waste of manpower to assault it by land .