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tomder55
Apr 11, 2023, 03:14 AM
In the last few weeks there have been a series of documents (hard copies ) that have been leaked on the net They cover a number of issues surrounding the Ukraine war .No body knows how many will be released ;who is leaking them or if they are real .
Given the reaction of the US administration I believe they are not fake.

Too many issues have been revealed to address in one posting . The REAL state of the Ukraine military ;how the US spies on friend and foe alike including South Korea, Israel and Ukraine. ;the state of NATO relations ; US penetration of Russia and Wagner group's operations ; US spying on Zelensky ;how some of the most guarded and sensitive secrets end up on the web, and specific Ukraine battle plans , are just some of the related issues .

The documents appeared online last month on the social media site 'Discord'. The on line photos show that the docs have been hastily removed from where they were stored ;possibly just shoved in pockets . They have classified and sensitive stamps on them.

They appear to be recent docs produced since mid-February .US is saying that some of the docs were altered . Is that true or is it an attempt at damage control ? We are getting the usual chorus of 'Russian disinformation' from war hawks .

The leak comes amid expectations of an impeding Ukraine counter-offensive once the weather improves. But some of the most disturbing revelations if the docs are true is of the readiness of Ukraine's forces . They seem to confirm what I have been suggesting for some time ..... that the Ukraine forces are in dire straits. They suggest war weariness. They suggest unsustainable and irreversible troop losses More than 100,000 casualties (death and wounded ) if the docs are to be believed .

Leaked documents detail dire assessments of Ukrainian army: reports | The Hill (https://thehill.com/policy/defense/3941106-leaked-documents-detail-dire-assessments-of-ukrainian-army-reports/)


What is true is that Russia has for months been preparing it's defensive lines for the upcoming offensive In particular, an extensive network of trenches and defenses was constructed and now extends across the border . Construction and expansion of several significant military bases also took place during the same period,
Ukraine's allies are divided between western NATO nations led by Macron of France ,who is begging for a negotiated settlement ;and more hawkish eastern NATO nations . It is not clear that NATO approves of an offensive into Crimea . Putin has called it a red line .

Now I'm no military genious . But it appears to me that a frontal assault on Crimea would be the equivalent of Pickett's Charge ... or even a similar assault on Crimea from the Brit experience.... the Charge of the Light Brigade. It is a very defensible terrain .
Ukraine has already cut off the water supply to Crimea . Completely destroying the Kersh bridge would leave Russia only the Black Sea to resupply.
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f9/%D0%9A%D1%80%D1%8B%D0%BC%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9_% D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82_13_%D1%81%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8 2%D1%8F%D0%B1%D1%80%D1%8F_2019_%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4% D0%B0_%281%29.jpg/300px-%D0%9A%D1%80%D1%8B%D0%BC%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9_% D0%BC%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%82_13_%D1%81%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8 2%D1%8F%D0%B1%D1%80%D1%8F_2019_%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4% D0%B0_%281%29.jpg

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c9/Kerch_Strait%2C_Ukraine%2C_Russia%2C_near_natural_ colors_satellite_image%2C_LandSat-5%2C_2011-08-30.jpg/250px-Kerch_Strait%2C_Ukraine%2C_Russia%2C_near_natural_ colors_satellite_image%2C_LandSat-5%2C_2011-08-30.jpg

From there Ukraine could harass Russian positions with drones and artillery . It would be a waste of manpower to assault it by land .

tomder55
Apr 11, 2023, 04:18 AM
In the early days of the campaign Russia unleashed hundreds of sorties of Russian air craft. But competent management of Ukraine air defenses took a toll . Russia parked their air assets out of harms way and focused on attacks on Ukraine's air denfense systems .

Leaked docs suggest this plan is working .


According to one leaked document, missile stocks for Soviet-era S-300 and Buk air defence systems, which constitute 89 per cent of Ukraine's protection against most fighter aircraft and some bombers, could be fully depleted by May 3 and mid-April.
One leaked document reportedly assessed that Ukrainian air defences designed to protect troops on the front line will be "completely reduced" by May 23.


Ukraine's air defence could crumble 'within weeks', according to leaked intelligence (telegraph.co.uk) (https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/04/10/ukraine-russia-war-news-putin-latest-biden-bakhmut-zelensky/)

tomder55
Apr 11, 2023, 05:12 AM
Do these leaks expose the fraud of the US so called support for Ukraine for what it really is ? As I have stated before ,the US is willing to support the war to the last Ukrainian.

jlisenbe
Apr 11, 2023, 07:54 PM
I've wondered how long the national will of Ukraine can hold out. They have suffered greatly in this insane war. So far the morale of the military seems to be good, probably due to their much better than expected performance to this point, but as casualties mount, then how much longer can they continue? I guess if WW2 is any indicator, they can go a long time.

tomder55
Apr 13, 2023, 02:15 AM
The leaks reveal that NATO ;including US ,has an active military presence in Ukraine. The US has 14 . The UK 50 special forces troops .

The leaks also reveal that Ukraine air defenses have been severely degraded by Russian drone attacks. Russia is close to achieving air superiority if not air supremacy over Ukraine's skies . Ukraine cannot conduct an armored offensive if they don't have air cover .

tomder55
Apr 13, 2023, 11:14 AM
Amazing . They found the leaker of the Ukraine papers and released his name in a matter of days .
He is a member of Massachusetts Air National Guard named Jack Teixeira. He is allegedly responsible for uploading hundreds of pages of sensitive documents into a chat group on the web site Discord .

Leaked Documents Live Updates: FBI at the Home of Air National Guardsman - The New York Times (nytimes.com) (https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/04/13/us/documents-leak-pentagon#documents-leak-leaker-identity)

Want to know the Supreme Court leaker ? Want to read the Nashville shooter's manifesto ? Want to know the identity of the Jan 6 person who allegedly planted pipe bombs ? Good luck with that . The information we are permitted to know is closely filtered by the government with a hat tip by the compliant press.

The Slimes doing the FBI work frees them up to infiltrate Catholic churches and investigate parents concerned about their children's education . .

tomder55
Apr 13, 2023, 01:35 PM
How can a 21 year old member of the Air National Guard gain access to such sensitive documents ? Something smells rotten .

tomder55
Apr 14, 2023, 04:46 AM
This still doesn't add up . I recall how in their haste to solve a crime ;the FBI doggedly persecuted Dr Steven Hatfill for allegedly being the person who attacked American politicians with anthrax. He was the most likely suspect so Comey and Mueller myopically zeroed in on him . The real person who did the anthrax murders was a Fort Detrick scientist named Bruce Edwards Ivins