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rorymckeague
Mar 29, 2012, 07:24 AM
The probability of a car being defective is 1/10. In a survey of 150 cars, what is probability that 20 or more cars are defective?

ebaines
Mar 29, 2012, 10:58 AM
Two ways to tackle this. The hard way is to determine the probability of 20 being defective, plus the probabiity 21 being defectice, plus the probability of 22 being defecetive , plus... etc. Each of these probabilities is calculated using the formula for binomial distribution:

P(n) = C(150,n)p^n q^{(150-n)}

An easier way is to use the fact that the binomial distribution approaches a normal distribution for large populations. So you can use the cumulative probability for a normal distribution, where \mu = mean = np, \sigma = standard deviation = \sqrt{npq}, and you want to check a z-score of (x-\mu )/ \sigma for x = 20.

rorymckeague
Apr 17, 2012, 02:11 AM
Many thanks for your help