View Full Version : Ok Global warming skeptics explain this?
paraclete
Aug 26, 2009, 05:28 PM
2009 is officially Australia's hottest ever winter | National News | News.com.au (http://www.news.com.au/story/0,27574,25987685-421,00.html)
Parts of Australia have had their warmest day this year, in the middle of winter.
No, it's not a joke or a prank report. Now I want to know if we can have 37 degrees C in winter what are we to expect in summer and let's face it what can you expect?
This surely tells us that the unusual has come to stay
Skell
Aug 26, 2009, 06:57 PM
I suspect they will link you to articles about snow storms in Texas as their evidence it is all a big lie.
In my opinion both arguments are silly. An article telling me about a freak snow storm or a hot winter doesn't tell the whole story.
But in saying that, I am glad you posted this article because for months much of the skeptics arguments have been based on similar articles to yours. Maybe now they will see that it is a futile argument.
Frankly where I live (close enough to Sydney), it seems to be getting warmer in winter and cooler in summer. But I'm sure some Victorians would argue with me about the latter comment given the heat they experienced last summer.
paraclete
Aug 26, 2009, 09:10 PM
. An article telling me about a freak snow storm or a hot winter doesn't tell the whole story.
But in saying that, i am glad you posted this article because for months much of the skeptics arguments have been based on similar articles to yours. Maybe now they will see that it is a futile argument.
Hey while they were talking about 37'C up North we were freezing here in the mountains, but it doesn't answer the question how can we experience such radically unseasonal weather? Victoria appears to be history, no rain, high winds, fires we can only hope this doesn't advance north as apparently weather patterns are said to do. We have had no summer to speak of in the last couple of years and the flowers here tell me spring is here
Skell
Aug 26, 2009, 09:36 PM
Hey while they were talking about 37'C up North we were freezing here in the mountains, but it doesn't answer the question how can we experience such radically unseasonal weather? Victoria appears to be history, no rain, high winds, fires we can only hope this doesn't advance north as apparently weather patterns are said to do. We have had no summer to speak of in the last couple of years and the flowers here tell me spring is here
I know. I'm certainly not an old man but I have to say that in my time I have noticed distinct changes in the weather patterns. It seems gone are the days of long hot summers with consecutive days in 40 deg. C range. But in contrast winters don't seem near as cold as they used to.
Im not sold on global warming completely, but I will admit that there certainly appears to be climate change. Is this natural change or not? Im not so sure.
tomder55
Aug 27, 2009, 06:10 AM
This surely tells us that the unusual has come to stay
Climate Change Happens (it is a bumper sticker I think I'll market if it isn't being sold already )
Really now ,desertification happened on this planet long before the introduction of the internal combustion engine ;and even before humans existed . And the largest desert on the planet is in one of the coldest places.
My latest theory on this whole warming /cooling stuff predicts that all of us had better start buying fleece lined jackets... and all will be encouraged to blow out as much C02 as possible
CO2 Science (http://www.co2science.org/articles/V12/N34/C1.php)
speechlesstx
Aug 27, 2009, 06:16 AM
Yeah Clete, I'm always told that one oddity does not make the case. I'm certain I was told that when I had 4 foot snow drifts in late April this year (that was for you, Skell).
spitvenom
Aug 27, 2009, 12:53 PM
The only thing I know is the weather seems to be different here in Philly. When I was a kid I remember throwing snow balls at the SEPTA buses in November and school being closed. Now I don't even remember the last time there was a really big snow storm in November.
It seems to me like the season are getting pushed back if that makes any sense. For example usually I turn my AC on at the end of May beginning of June this year I didn't have to turn it on until the middle of July. Not a big thing but that is not normal. My heat was on until about the middle of April that isn't normal either.
ETWolverine
Aug 27, 2009, 01:52 PM
2009 is officially Australia's hottest ever winter | National News | News.com.au (http://www.news.com.au/story/0,27574,25987685-421,00.html)
Parts of Australia have had their warmest day this year, in the middle of winter.
No, it's not a joke or a prank report. Now I want to know if we can have 37 degrees C in winter what are we to expect in summer and let's face it what can you expect?
This surely tells us that the unusual has come to stay
Intererstingly enough, we in the USA have been experiencing the COLDEST summer in memory, which followed the coldest spring in living memory. We didn't hit 90% in New York until two weeks ago, and we usually hit the 90s in late June and stay there until the end August.
How do I explain it? It's called weather. It changes. Sometimes it changes UPWARD, sometimes it changes DOWNWARD.
This does NOT tell me that the unusual has come to stay. It tells me that the unusual came and went.
When we had a freak snowstorm in late April '93 (springtime) was that a sign that "something unusual had come to stay"? And if so, what is that "something unusual"? And most importantly, is it being caused by anything WE are doing?
The only trend that I have seen in global warming is that every time Al Gore opens his mouth to talk about global warming, it ends up being the coldest day on record. Which just proves that Al Gore is sucking the energy out of whatever place he happens to be standing. But it doesn't tell us anything about global warming, or cooling, or climate change.
Elliot
galveston
Aug 27, 2009, 01:59 PM
Wonder what Al Gore would have made of the "dust bowl" had he been around then?
It was so bad that many simply gave up on the region and left. Nothing grew, and sometimes you couldn't see due to the dust.
Today that region feeds much of the world.
Just remember, change is certain, and as for the weather, there is NOT ONE THING that we can do about it.
Let's not kill ourselves tilting at windmills.
ETWolverine
Aug 27, 2009, 02:20 PM
One thing that global warming theory supporters can never answer is THIS question.
What is the optimal temperature for the planet Earth?
If the temperature is getting "too high" it must be because it is over a certain level and is causing problems.
If the temperature is getting "too low" it must be because the temperature is getting below a certain level and is causing problems.
So what temperature is "just right"? What is the optimal temperature for the planet Earth?
Until you can define what the correct temperature should be, it seems silly to say that it is getting "too high" or "too low".
BTW, does anyone here know what type of environment is the most hospitable to the largest number of species on Earth?
Swamps.
Hot, humid, high-temperature, dirty, disgusting swamps. Swamps have more spieces of insect, mammal, reptile, fish, plant, BACTERIA, VIRUS, etc. than any other environment on Earth. You can learn more about natural history from a swamp than from any other environment in existence. There is more life there than exists anywhere else.
So tell me that a rise of even 2 degrees across the entire planet is BAD for life on Earth. Creating more wetlands and expanding swamps is a bad thing? I don't buy it.
Elliot
paraclete
Aug 27, 2009, 03:07 PM
Let's not kill ourselves tilting at windmills.
Haven't you heard windmills are one of the answers maybe quixote had something
tomder55
Aug 28, 2009, 04:52 AM
Check this out .
Remember when the President said he was going to restore science to it's proper place ? Turns out that science's proper place is in the trash heap .
Al McGartland, director of the EPA's National Center for Environmental Economics(NCEE), has chastised the authors of an EPA study that knocked gaping holes of logic in the agency's decision to label life-sustaining carbon dioxide as a pollutant. McGartland's "cease-and-desist" warnings to the two scientists came to light in four e-mails, obtained by the Competitive Enterprise Institute, a Washington-based think tank that vigorously defends free market principles.
The authors were told by McGartland not to publish the report or "have any communication with anyone outside" the NCEE about the EPA's decision to classify carbon dioxide as an "endangerment" to our health and the environment. Because the study so adamantly opposed the administration's decision to name carbon dioxide a pollutant in order to control energy usage, Al McGartland issued the following series of blunt "thou shall nots."
One e-mail noted: "There should be no meetings, emails, written statements, phone calls etc" about endangerment.
Another declared: "The time for such discussion of fundamental issues has passed. The administrator and administration has decided to move forward on endangerment and your comments do not help the legal or policy case for this decision."
Yet another cautioned: "I can only see one impact of your comments given where we are in this process, and that would be a very negative impact on our office."
And finally came the unambiguous order: "I don't want you to spend any additional EPA time on climate change. No papers, no research, etc." The report. Which has circulated widely on the Internet, graphically illustrates why EPA kow-towers to Obama's sweeping wanted it buried -- perhaps in a lead-lined container deposited in Yucca Mountain.
Authors Alan Carlin and John Davidson -- both holders of Ph.D.s -- found that the EPA "paid too little attention to the science of global warming." Instead, they observed, the EPA accepted findings from other groups such as the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change without a "critical examination of their conclusions and documentation." They devastatingly noted that the EPA's conclusion that CO2 was harmful was based on old science which is no longer accurate. Specifically, the study by Carlin and Davidson noted:
• "Global temperatures have declined extending the current downtrend to 11 years. At the same time atmospheric CO2 levels have continued to increase and CO2 emissions have accelerated."
• "The consensus on past, present and future Atlantic hurricane behavior has changed.. . Now the consensus is much more neutral, arguing that future Atlantic tropical cyclones will be little different than those of the past."
• "The idea that warming temperatures will cause Greenland to rapidly shed its ice has been greatly diminished by new results indicating little evidence for the operation of such processes."
• "A new 2009 study suggests that the U.N.'s IPCC used faulty solar data in dismissing the direct effect of solar variability on global temperatures. Their research suggests that solar variability could account for up to 68% of the increase in the earth's global temperatures."
The authors also warned the EPA not to make a hasty decision in calling CO2 an endangerment to health saying, "Given the downward trend in temperatures since 1998 (which some think will continue until at least 2030) there is no particular reason to rush into decisions based on a scientific hypothesis that does not appear to explain most of the available data."
Needless to say the usually intrepid investigative reporters at the New York Times, Washington Post and the mainstream TV networks somehow managed to miss a truly scandalous story with ramifications for the American people.
Transparency apparently not on EPA's agenda | detnews.com | The Detroit News (http://www.detnews.com/article/20090821/OPINION01/908210407/1008/opinion01/Transparency-apparently-not-on-EPA-s-agenda)
Here is the document by Carlin and Davidson.
Proposed NCEE Comments on Draft Technical Support Document for Endangerment Analysis for Greenhouse Gas Emissions under the Gle (http://74.125.93.132/search?q=cache:DtwXCze62q4J:cei.org/cei_files/fm/active/0/DOC062509-004.pdf+comments+on+draft+technical+support+docume nt+for+endangerment&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us)
Now it turns out that the EPA is considering shutting down Carlin's unit ;the NCEE for their heracy .The NCEE's task is to “analyzing the economic and health impacts of environmental regulations and policies, and … informing important policy decisions with sound economics and other sciences.”
Dr. Carlin must have thought that his role was to examine the orthodoxy and rationale behind EPA decision based on scientific fact and to weigh those facts against the economic costs of EPA regulations . But in the brave new world of the Obot ,such factors are inconvenient truths.
ETWolverine
Aug 28, 2009, 07:03 AM
haven't you heard windmills are one of the answers maybe quixote had something
Yep. Windmills are the high-tech new technology... only about a thousand years old.
There's a reason that windmills were abandoned in favor of other methods if transmitting energy. They are inefficient, and it takes more energy to transport power from a windmill to an end-user than is generated by the windmill. That has NOT changed significantly in over 100 years. Unless someone can figure out how to make this old tech more efficient, it's not going to go very far.
Elliot
speechlesstx
Aug 28, 2009, 08:09 AM
Yes, Obama Aims to Shield Science From Politics (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/03/08/AR2009030801476.html).
"It is about ensuring that scientific data is never distorted or concealed (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/03/09/obama-science-memo-goes-b_n_172987.html) to serve a political agenda _ and that we make scientific decisions based on facts, not ideology."
Just words...
spitvenom
Aug 28, 2009, 08:43 AM
Windmills are tough I think they need a steady stream of wind at least 12mph for 75% of the day to make any real energy. Or something along those lines. I still think Solar is the way to go. We use Solar panels to power some of the controllers I work on that are in remote areas that you can't run power out to. Works great even if the sun is not out.
ETWolverine
Aug 28, 2009, 09:12 AM
Windmills are tough I think they need a steady stream of wind at least 12mph for 75% of the day to make any real energy. Or something along those lines. I still think Solar is the way to go. We use Solar panels to power some of the controllers I work on that are in remote areas that you can't run power out to. Works great even if the sun is not out.
No, the true way to clean, sustainable, SAFE, independent electrical energy is through NUCLEAR POWER.
Solar is good, but it is diffuse, susceptible to interruption due to weather, difficult to store, and expensive to transport over distances compared the amount of energy it produces (better than wind, but still relatively expensive to transport). The only real advantage of solar energy over the fossil fuels we currently use is its sustainability, which I agree is an important step, but not the ONLY important step.
Nuclear has none of the same difficulties. It is not susceptible to weather problems, it is concentrated energy, easily stored, easily transmitted, cost effective, and sustainable in the long term. Nuclear energy is where we need to concentrate, I think.
Elliot
spitvenom
Aug 28, 2009, 09:18 AM
I know Nuclear would work but it scares me. Not the environmental impact but just the safety of it. If those cooling tanks fail and they can't get it working again a lot of people are going to die.
Solar would be better if it was on every house but it is too expensive. Plus not all houses will get the proper sun.
tomder55
Aug 28, 2009, 09:47 AM
spit . Using the French example. Check out their system. Most of the electricity generated there is nuclear using breeder reactors.
The breeder reactor recyles the waste until it is so small that it is almost non-existant .
At its best, the Breeder Reactor system produces no nuclear waste whatever - literally everything eventually gets used. In the real world, there actually may be some residual material that could be considered waste, but its half-life - the period of time it takes for half the radioactivity to dissipate - is on the order of thirty to forty years. By contrast, the half-life for the stuff we presently consider nuclear waste is over 25,000 years!
http://www.argee.net/DefenseWatch/Nuclear%20Waste%20and%20Breeder%20Reactors.htm (http://www.argee.net/DefenseWatch/Nuclear%20Waste%20and%20Breeder%20Reactors.htm)
Two incidents illustrate the safety issue
1. 3 Mile Island had inherent safety features built into it and the incident was contained .
2.The Chernobyl reactor did not have a containment structure like those used in the West and is the only incident where a breach occured. As bad as it was ;the accident destroyed the reactor and killed 56 people ,although many more received some form of radiation exposure.
The point is that nukes already in the worse of cases have a pretty impressive safety record. Certainly better if you compare them to the safety record of coal hydropower and natural gas plants and especially compared to worker safety .
Many of the old reactors do need to be decommissioned ;but new ones being built have even more redundant safety featured built in.
ETWolverine
Aug 28, 2009, 09:57 AM
I know Nuclear would work but it scares me. Not the environmental impact but just the safety of it. If those cooling tanks fail and they can't get it working again a lot of people are going to die.
Solar would be better if it was on every house but it is too expensive. Plus not all houses will get the proper sun.
People tend to point to Three Mile Island as an example of what you are talking about, Spitvenom. BUT, the truth is that Three Mile Island showed us how well the safety systems of nuclear facilities work, not how badly they fail. Despite the mechanical failure at Three Mile Island, there was NO RADIATION LEAKAGE WHATSOEVER. The reactor shut down just fine despite the control errors. The "accident" that scares so many people is actually an example of everything going RIGHT, not everything going wrong.
Nuclear energy is even safer today than it was in 1979. The controls are better, more redundancy has been built into the systems, and the system is actually cleaner today.
I understand your fears, but the fact is that you get more radiation tanning yourself in the sun for 15 minutes than you would by taking a stroll on 3 Mile Island or any other nuclear facility site. There is more dangerous radiation from a traditional COAL power plant than there is from a nuclear power plant.
Elliot
jetstream7
Aug 28, 2009, 10:16 AM
Well, we're looking at a relatively small bit of time when it comes to recorded weather - maybe 200 years? There have been MUCH greater weather fluctuations in the past during human history. We may just be in the band of a minor fluctuation - or not. :)
galveston
Aug 28, 2009, 10:19 AM
You know, the efforts to suppress any scientific opposition to the PC view looks more like RELIGION than science.
Why is that?
paraclete
Aug 28, 2009, 03:05 PM
Yep. Windmills are the high-tech new technology... only about a thousand years old.
There's a reason that windmills were abandoned in favor of other methods if transmitting energy. They are inefficient, and it takes more energy to transport power from a windmill to an end-user than is generated by the windmill. That has NOT changed significantly in over 100 years. Unless someone can figure out how to make this old tech more efficient, it's not going to go very far.
Elliot
There you go Elliot tilting at windmills I knew there was something of the Don about you
paraclete
Aug 28, 2009, 03:11 PM
Windmills are tough I think they need a steady stream of wind at least 12mph for 75% of the day to make any real energy. Or something along those lines. I still think Solar is the way to go. We use Solar panels to power some of the controllers I work on that are in remote areas that you can't run power out to. Works great even if the sun is not out.
Windmills are only 20% efficient unless you have a perpetual North sea gale but both are really only good in a distributed system solution. The idea that you can use them for large scale power production rivaling base load stations is ridiculous. However set them up to supply a small local need where you are not transmitting power long distances and they are both cheap and effective as long as you don't expect them to meet 100% of your requirements. Therein lies the problem:)
paraclete
Aug 28, 2009, 03:12 PM
check this out .
Remember when the President said he was going to restore science to it's proper place ? Turns out that science's proper place is in the trash heap .
Transparency apparently not on EPA's agenda | detnews.com | The Detroit News (http://www.detnews.com/article/20090821/OPINION01/908210407/1008/opinion01/Transparency-apparently-not-on-EPA-s-agenda)
Here is the document by Carlin and Davidson.
Proposed NCEE Comments on Draft Technical Support Document for Endangerment Analysis for Greenhouse Gas Emissions under the Gle (http://74.125.93.132/search?q=cache:DtwXCze62q4J:cei.org/cei_files/fm/active/0/DOC062509-004.pdf+comments+on+draft+technical+support+docume nt+for+endangerment&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us)
Now it turns out that the EPA is considering shutting down Carlin's unit ;the NCEE for their heracy .The NCEE's task is to “analyzing the economic and health impacts of environmental regulations and policies, and … informing important policy decisions with sound economics and other sciences.”
Dr. Carlin must have thought that his role was to examine the orthodoxy and rationale behind EPA decision based on scientific fact and to weigh those facts against the economic costs of EPA regulations . But in the brave new world of the Obot ,such factors are inconvenient truths.
You must never let the truth get in the way of a good story and a photo opportunity
tomder55
Aug 29, 2009, 03:10 AM
But the President holds all the cards in this debate .Thanks to our idiot Supreme Court (SCOTUS) which made the absurd ruling 2 years ago that CO2 is a pollutant under the Clean Air Act;the EPA ruled in April that global warming is caused by man made C02 emissions despite the report by Carlin.
That opened the door for the EPA to act on regulating CO2 emissions whether our Congress acts ,and the President signs cap and trade into law.
This will happen in a matter of weeks after the mandatory public commnet phase is complete.
galveston
Aug 29, 2009, 02:05 PM
I do wish those who think CO2 is a pollutant would stop exhaling it.
paraclete
Aug 30, 2009, 05:47 PM
I do wish those who think CO2 is a pollutant would stop exhaling it.
CO2 is not a pollutant, it is vital to life as we know it, the question is; do we have too much of a good thing? Now if we hadn't destroyed so much of the forests, we wouldn't have the problem we think we have but it is really interesting to note that in geological terms the era we live in hardly registers on the graph. What we have is statistics taken out of context and used to pursue a political agenda.
By this I am not saying we do not need to mend our ways and stop using up resourses in an unsustainable way, but we should do this for rational reasons.:)
tomder55
Aug 31, 2009, 09:59 AM
By this I am not saying we do not need to mend our ways and stop using up resourses in an unsustainable way, but we should do this for rational reasons
I assume when you say this you also mean the use of rare earth minerals needed to produce hybrid batteries ,electric motor magnets and wind turbine generators. Metals like neodymium.
speechlesstx
Aug 31, 2009, 02:57 PM
John Kerry has finally found his national security backbone... by fear mongering about climate change (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/john-kerry/we-cant-ignore-the-securi_b_272815.html).
On August 6, 2001, President George W. Bush famously received an intelligence briefing entitled, "Bin Laden Determined to Strike in U.S." Thirty-six days later, al Qaeda terrorists did just that.
Scientists tell us we have a 10-year window -- if even that -- before catastrophic climate change becomes inevitable and irreversible. The threat is real, and time is not on our side.
And you thought Republicans were the only fear mongers...
paraclete
Aug 31, 2009, 06:09 PM
I assume when you say this you also mean the use of rare earth minerals needed to produce hybrid batteries ,electric motor magnets and wind turbine generators. Metals like neodymium.
Yes, Tom, all resources are finite and we are wasteful. Uranium is a case in point. We have a use for it to feed our insatiable thurst for power but is the nuclear industry of today the best use for this mineral. There are other ways to generate power. In the same way using rare materials to make batteries for mobile phones, what is basically a fashion item, is not a good use for it, in fact, it is wasteful because nobody really needs to have instant communications every minute of the day. We live in the instant, everything must serve the moment, but this is wasteful because our technology doesn't often make the best use of resources. We cut down trees to make paper, and kid ourselves that the trees are a renewable resource. If this is so where are the forests? They are disappearing rapidly and at the same time fueling the very climate change we are trying to combat by other means.
You see, Tom, I don't actually believe climate change can be affected by changing the way we produce energy, therefore the emphasis on the "green" industries is a great deal of effort misplaced to achieve that end, when what we really need to do is curb the production of energy based appliances. How often have you seen a product placed on the market which operates in a manual way only next season it reappears with batteries or an electric motor.
twinkiedooter
Aug 31, 2009, 07:43 PM
Nuclear submaries have been phased out in Russia over the past few years due to the dangerous radiation and leakage. I don't think this is a good source of power period. Coal is a better source to generate electricity. Also water such as at Niagra Falls would be a better choice than nuclear power.
The lithium needed to power the hybrid cars is going to result in a fiasco shortly as there is only just so much of this mineral and it is located in one area of the globe as well. It will be expended too soon to do any of us much good.
Maybe we need to start rethinking our options on energy.
The earth is getting cooler - not warmer.
The Australian continent has been slowly drained of it's water in some places on purpose to make the continent less habitable.
The weather is manipulated to a greater degree than what you would even imagine.
paraclete
Sep 1, 2009, 02:24 AM
The Australian continent has been slowly drained of it's water in some places on purpose to make the continent less habitable.
The weather is manipulated to a greater degree than what you would even imagine.
Twinkie go back to twinking
You cannot have a scrap of evidence of your allegations
tomder55
Sep 1, 2009, 02:30 AM
We cut down trees to make paper, and kid ourselves that the trees are a renewable resource. If this is so where are the forests?
It is a renewable resource. Between 1990 and 2000, the US gained an average of 364,600 hectares of forest per year.
what we really need to do is curb the production of energy based appliances.
Luddite... shall we go back to being cave dwellers ?
paraclete
Sep 1, 2009, 03:37 PM
It is a renewable resource. Between 1990 and 2000, the US gained an average of 364,600 hectares of forest per year.
Luddite....shall we go back to being cave dwellers ?
Tom how short sighted you are, how much forest was destroyed in Brazil and south east Asia during this time. When I talk, I talk about the world when you talk you talk about your back garden.
You didn't stop to think that all our great advancements in electric appliances have increased the need for power and therefore add to the problem of dealing with the growth in the number of power stations and consumption, that is the real problem, everything else is a symptom of it. We now have the great idea of turning the car into an electric appliance so we can build more power stations
firmbeliever
Sep 1, 2009, 04:23 PM
Seems there was a time when the temperatures were way below average too.
Historical Weather & Climate Timeline From 1900 A.D. to 1950 A.D. (http://www.longrangeweather.com/1900ad.htm)
I don't know how accurate their records are,but it is interesting to see the changes through the years.
paraclete
Sep 1, 2009, 05:33 PM
Seems there was a time when the temperatures were way below average too.
Historical Weather & Climate Timeline From 1900 A.D. to 1950 A.D. (http://www.longrangeweather.com/1900ad.htm)
I dont know how accurate their records are,but it is interesting to see the changes through the years.
These are short term measurements. Over geological ages the temperature has been relatively stable within the range of a few degrees but that has included ice ages and periods of higher temperature. That is the most interesting of all. It all depends what scale you draw your graph on. We have observed higher temperatures in the past decade and when you have a graph that focuses on the short term the movements seem massive but over the long term they are hardly a blip.
The real question is whether Mankind is having the effect we think we are or it is all part of a bigger oscillation we haven't discerned yet and our ability to change anything is zero. So it is back to whether it is ego or ergo. The graphs you have there illustrate my point if the data were taken as a whole you would see that it all fits the pattern
tomder55
Sep 2, 2009, 02:43 AM
You didn't stop to think that all our great advancements in electric appliances have increased the need for power and therefore add to the problem of dealing with the growth in the number of power stations and consumption, that is the real problem, everything else is a symptom of it. We now have the great idea of turning the car into an electric appliance so we can build more power stations
Why are you using your computer if that's your concern ? Maybe you should invent one that is powered by a gerbil on a treadmill .
The answer is that we are not going to go back. Therefore we need to keep an open mind on ALL sources of energy production . If generation by coal is dirty ,invent a device that cleans it ,but don't think we can stop using coal ,petroleum ,natural gas, nuclear anytime soon .We need to expand our capacity ;not shrink it.
The real question is whether Mankind is having the effect we think we are or it is all part of a bigger oscillation we haven't discerned yet and our ability to change anything is zero. So it is back to whether it is ego or ergo.
Have you been following the solar minimum ? Until this week we were in a 53 day cycle without any sunspots... the 4th longest since 1849. This solar minimum, is far longer than most. The average length of a minimum is 485 days. This one is into it's 700th day. This is approaching the Maunder Minimum type numbers (well that's a bit of an exageration since that lasted between 1645 to 1715 ) .The Earth cooled by more than 3 degrees Fahrenheit during the minimum. By contrast ;with all our industrialization the earth has cooled 1 degree since 1900. If you ask me ;there is a far greater danger to the world that we will plunge into another "Little Ice Age" .
paraclete
Sep 2, 2009, 03:28 AM
I know. I'm certainly not an old man but i have to say that in my time i have noticed distinct changes in the weather patterns. It seems gone are the days of long hot summers with consecutive days in 40 deg. C range. But in contrast winters dont seem near as cold as they used to.
Im not sold on global warming completely, but I will admit that there certainly appears to be climate change. Is this natural change or not? Im not so sure.
Yes and now fires in late winter and early spring, two months early. Last year we didn't have summer, Hardly turned on the AC at all. I wonder if we had it last week. Statistics suggest that it is natural, we couldn't affect the weather that much in the Southern hemisphere even if there is huge CO2 output in the Northern hemisphere. Just like el nino is an oscillation, so there is a longer term oscillation about 100 years and even longer term oscillations. Where I live there used to be snow on the ground in winter but not in a long time now. No need to build snow roofs anymore