View Full Version : War in the gulf?
paraclete
Sep 15, 2019, 06:27 AM
Do we have Trump's excuse to bomb Iran? Drone attacks on Saudi oil assets,blamed on the Hothi however, the oil assets attacked were closer to Iran than Yemen and where did Hothi get such sophisticated weapons. Many questions to be answered here, will Trump once again dance to the Saudi tune? Will Saudi Arabia unleash a proxy war on Iran. Whatever the answer we will all be paying for it
tomder55
Sep 15, 2019, 08:22 AM
where did Hothi get such sophisticated weapons
that is easy . The IRGC supplied them .You forget their drones are pretty sophisticated . Their turbojet-powered Karrar drone can easily drop bombs as well as fire a guided missile called the Sadid. It took a special Marine jamming device to take one down in the Straits of Hormuz in July .
Now do I believe it was Houthi or IRGC hands at the controls ? I don't believe the Houthi's piloted the craft . Tehran's drones have demonstrated effectiveness in Syria ;mostly for scouting and directing fire. But given the fact that the Saudi oil was probably not sufficiently protected against an aerial attack . I can see their drones slipping through and hitting their targets .
Will Saudi Arabia unleash a proxy war on Iran
No Iran has attacked Saudi Arabia . You should get your facts straight.The Houthi's are a proxy force of Iran . The Saudi's and a Gulf coalition are fighting them because it is in no one's interest for them to control the Arabian Sea coast and the Gulf of Aden.
btw it has been revealed that the dispute between Trump and Bolton was NOT about the Taliban . Bolton opposed that Trump wanted to lift some Iranian sanctions as inducement to get them to direct talks . Bolton was right to oppose it .
The good news is that the US has surpassed the Saudi's as oil exporters . Now you Aussies import almost all of your oil used although most of it is from Asian sources . However any disruption of the world market affects world prices . So when you pay more at the pump think hard about if you think it is a good idea to stop Iraninan aggression.
talaniman
Sep 15, 2019, 09:28 AM
Been here before folks,
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_oil_crisis
Read the whole thing folks!
Vacuum7
Sep 15, 2019, 11:49 AM
More $$$s for the U.S.: The U.S., it was announced this week, has SURPASSED SAUDI ARABIA AS THE #1 OIL PRODUCER IN THE WORLD! So, driving oil prices up means more $$$s for the U.S.....Guess that backfires on the old dirty bearded Moolahs!
Athos
Sep 15, 2019, 12:36 PM
So, driving oil prices up means more $$$s for the U.S....
More dollars for CORPORATIONS, for the American citizen LESS dollars!
paraclete
Sep 15, 2019, 02:25 PM
More $$$s for the U.S.: The U.S., it was announced this week, has SURPASSED SAUDI ARABIA AS THE #1 OIL PRODUCER IN THE WORLD! So, driving oil prices up means more $$$s for the U.S.....Guess that backfires on the old dirty bearded Moolahs!
so we can now indulge in some conspiracy theories, who has the most to gain from rising oil prices? from war in the ME? is it only me or do I smell the hand of the military-industrial complex in this
tomder55
Sep 15, 2019, 04:32 PM
I smell the hand of the 12ers looking to establish regional hegemony. Who benefits from rising prices ? The 12ers do . They get a higher price for their illicit sales of Oil .
paraclete
Sep 15, 2019, 05:09 PM
Whast we have here is a classic case of push-shove
Vacuum7
Sep 15, 2019, 08:13 PM
Paraclete: I never count the hand of the Military-Industrial Complex out of anything! And I don't think that any thinking person would ever do so, either. They have been hard at work since WWII and have been responsible for siphoning off more $$$s from the U.S. than anyone else.....and more lives, for that matter, than anyone else. Does anyone believe that the U.S. couldn't defeat North Vietnam in a twelve year conflict? No, that was protracted and prolonged for a reason: And we have some really dastardly "representatives" that we elected to give full, complicit cooperation to these shameful plays....and its entirely disgusting and sickening!
Iran is dumb as a box of rocks to do something like this....if they did it....or if this is a "FALSE FLAG" initiative directed by "others".....I tend to think I don't know, I am just pontificating.
Its all very disturbing in terms of the possible "what ifs" and who could be behind it, particularly from our side.
talaniman
Sep 16, 2019, 07:32 AM
Iran probably has armies of militias everywhere and I think one has taken the credit for those Saudi oil attacks.
https://www.cnn.com/2019/09/15/middleeast/saudi-oil-attack-lister-analysis-intl/index.html
Of course we don't know much YET!
tomder55
Sep 16, 2019, 01:01 PM
We know their constant provocations ,including regular attacks and seizures of tankers in the Straits as they did again this week . Since there has been a generally weak response to their provocations ,it doesn't surprise me they escalate .
Yes proxies all over waging war on the US ,the west ,and of course Israel. All I know is that it is very unlikely a Houthi attack . To accomplish that they would first know how to control the flight of the drones and then fly them over 600 miles to their target . If the attack did not come from the Houthi and not directly from Iran then perhaps the drone attacks originated from Iranian controlled sections of Iraq as suggested in the Tal link . That is the same scenario as the May 14 attack on a Saudi oil asset .
Tehran is getting desperate .They need to sell 1 million bbl of oil a month to meet their budget . They are barely meeting 1/10 of that commitment with the sanctions . Trump's dismissal of Bolton signals to Tehran that he is willing to cave on the sanctions . Trump using his force of personality diplomacy has already signaled he is willing to meet with anyone . Macron was also working as a broker during the August G7 meetings. The question to ask is how much control over the IRGC does Rouhani have ? If Trump and Rouhani want to sit down to negotiate and the IRGC doesn't want a diplomatic solution does it surprise anyone that they will do anything to sabotage the process ?
talaniman
Sep 16, 2019, 02:39 PM
I have little doubt the Iranians through proxies have attacked the Saudis, but the position the dufus put himself in with allies doesn't make a response directly from us probable (?) or wise as a flunky for those Saudis. Pulling out of a multinational treaty doesn't inspire confidence or give us many options with those allies either, in this scenario.
Those quick hard line sanction tactics to bring an adversary to the table were very ill thought out. They can go on for years and much lower level dickering behind the scenes.
tomder55
Sep 16, 2019, 03:15 PM
the JCPOA treaty was appeasment suck in many ways .
All the signatories deliberately choose to ignore the blatant Iranian lies ;to leave off the table Iran’s development of ballistic missiles ;and Teheran’s involvement in terrorism and international criminal activity. It was all carrot and no stick.
It actually forbade punishing Iran for violations of the deal except if Iran cancelled the deal. Trump's apparent goal is to address the obvious flaws of the deal . Me ;I don't believe the regime will ever be honest brokers because there is nothing to compel them to short of war. The other idiot signatories are only concerned with the energy the Iranians can provide.So they are desperately attempting to help Tehran circumvent the sanctions . But in doing so they show themselves to be the feckless players they are …...which further emboldens the 12ers.... and demonstrates to the world how un-credible and unreliable they are as partners .
This brinksmanship Iran is engaging in is predictable and they will continue to escalate until there is an effective response . And that won't happen until the so called partners get their heads out of their posteriors and realize their timid response almost guarantees the Tehran will breach the nuclear threshold and become another rogue nation with nukes .
talaniman
Sep 16, 2019, 04:03 PM
The treaty was a start a baby step for a bigger picture.
tomder55
Sep 16, 2019, 04:41 PM
the bigger picture was Iran joining the nuclear club. I'll never undestand the west position . The only time the west stayed united in opposition to a nation becoming a nuclear nation was against South Africa. Every other rouge nation the west has rolled over and played dead .
Vacuum7
Sep 16, 2019, 05:42 PM
Bashing Iran's funding source is one way to get their asses calmed down: If they attacked oil processing plants in Saudi, they may have just opened the proverbial Pandora's Box to having their own oil processing plants attacked by "unknown" assailants.
Vacuum7
Sep 17, 2019, 05:47 PM
I thought there was a NO ADVERTISING rule on this site!
paraclete
Sep 17, 2019, 05:51 PM
I thought there was a NO ADVERTISING rule on this site!
There is report them
talaniman
Sep 17, 2019, 07:39 PM
the bigger picture was Iran joining the nuclear club. I'll never undestand the west position . The only time the west stayed united in opposition to a nation becoming a nuclear nation was against South Africa. Every other rouge nation the west has rolled over and played dead .
Iran never joined the nuclear club, but they may yet. Kim Or Vlad may sell them a few though, if they need them quick. OH, wait, those are the dufus FWB's aren't they? What a mess this fool has made of things.
Athos
Sep 17, 2019, 10:00 PM
What a mess this fool has made of things.
The understatement of the month! One day it's war - "locked and loaded". The next day it's not war - "I don't want to go to war with Iran". Even his boy Pence is confused saying war when Trump reverses himself.
The fool confuses those around him with his inability to know what he's doing as he brings the world a bit closer to a war he has only himself to blame for.
Vacuum7
Sep 18, 2019, 04:39 PM
War is horrible...NOBODY should want war....I don't think President Trump does, either....and if he does, he is what you call him, Talaniman!
I do think that there are forces out there that are doing all they can do to involve the U.S. in warfare in order to "advance" their national interests, at the expense of ours, while, simultaneously, keeping their filthy hands clean.....One of these countries is in the Middle East and the other in Europe and I will let you guess whom they may be.
The U.S. needs to distance itself from warmongers all over the world....and we need to STOP BEING COERCED into getting involved in every conflict possible....nothing good will come out of it. Also, we need to stop pay extortionist like North Korea and Iran! Bill Clinton paid North Korea and Obama paid Iran with a cargo plane full of cash! God only knows if or what Trump may have paid or is thinking about paying....this needs to cease!
We need to go back and re-adopt the MONROE DOCTRINE and enforce it! We hold homogeny over the Western Hemisphere and that should be enough!
Wondergirl
Sep 18, 2019, 04:56 PM
Obama paid Iran with a cargo plane full of cash!
It was THEIR money!!!
https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/obama-bribed-iran-400-million-to-release-u-s-prisoners/
Vacuum7
Sep 18, 2019, 05:54 PM
W.G.: Their money? Really? It was the Shah's money, not the Mullah's money.....The U.S. froze the assets.....and they should have stayed frozen.....and they shouldn't have been given back until HELL FROZE OVER! Did you ever hear of the Beirut Barracks Bombing? That terrorist bombing was designed in Tehran by Iranians and carried out by their lackeys and it killed 241 United State Marine Corps. Marines: 241 MARINES! What were the lives of those Marines worth to you? Were they worth nothing? Was there a monetary value associated with the lives of those Marines? Were there lawyers clamoring to get money for the live of those marines like the ambulance chasers do on TV today. I contend that NO AMOUNT OF FROZEN IRANIAN ASSET MONEY WAS WORTH THE LIVES OF THOSE UNITES STATES MARINES, NOT EVEN A SINGLE U.S. MARINE! Obama should have thought about those U.S. Marines before he thought about appeasing those filthy Mullahs in Iran.....and I can tell you, those U.S. Marines, those 241 brave U.S. Marines, they never even crossed Obamas mind as he gave the order to deliver, in the middle of the night, $1.7 billion TO APPEASE those dirty Mullahs......Does Obama have no shame? At long last, does Obama have no shame?
paraclete
Sep 18, 2019, 08:11 PM
you have heard of diplomacy? negotiation? each side gives something, not necessarily of equal value, what is a few billion of someoneelses money? you can be sure that BO regarded it as nothing in order to gain something, a legacy agreement
tomder55
Sep 19, 2019, 02:50 PM
It was THEIR money!!!
their money ? No , it should've been used to compensate the 1980 hostages and the families of US soldiers killed and maimed by Iranian EFPs n Iraq. and Afghanistan
https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2015/07/14/iran-linked-to-deaths-of-500-u-s-troops-in-iraq-afghanistan/
a legacy agreement
indeed that is what it was all about .
a legacy agreement
indeed that is what it was all about .
Vacuum7
Sep 19, 2019, 03:12 PM
Paraclete & Tomder55: Whatever it was for BHO, it was absolutely disgusting: The Iranians destroyed so many in the years leading up to the payout in the middle of the night....I know a Marine who was in the Beirut Barracks: The Iranians destroyed his life that day....yes, he survived, if you want to call it that, with brain injuries, two fingers on one hand and three on the other hand, and the loss of his left leg at the knee, as well scars from head to foot.....and for BHO to spit in that man's face and, effectively, tell him that his life and the lives of his fellow Marines meant nothing to him, that is truly and utterly disgusting for a POTUS or anyone else who identifies themselves as an AMERICAN. Every time I see this Marine, I can't help but blush with anger that the bastards that did it didn't experience some retribution but, instead, they were, for all intents and purposes, paid for the murdering and maiming they did by the POTUS, BHO.
Athos
Sep 19, 2019, 03:35 PM
US Marines, they never even crossed Obamas mind .....Does Obama have no shame? At long last, does Obama have no shame?
V7 - I think you're conflating several different events here.
"At long last, does Obama have no shame"? This is right out of the (Republican) McCarthy hearings in the early 1950s. You're off by 60-70 years.
The Marine Barracks in Beirut - This occurred in the early 1980s under Republican Reagan. After investigating, Reagan could never decide what to do. You're off with this one by several decades and six (!) different administrations.
Obama's deal with Iran - This was more recent and you seem to be confused about whose money it was. At one point you say it was the Shah's. Later, you say it was given to the Mullahs. I think we can agree that Trump caused the agreement to unilaterally expire simply because it had Obama's name on it. Now he wishes he had it back as he vacillates from war to not war.
talaniman
Sep 19, 2019, 03:47 PM
Staying with the nuclear agreement would sure have kept our allies on our side in future issues regarding Iran, OR most certainly present ones. It kind of bugs me though, that the Saudis can lie their a$$ off about assassinating an American journalist on foreign soil, and then after all those arms deals with them, WE have to defend them when they get atttacked? They used those weapons against Yemen, but can't defend their own homeland?
The logic escapes me.
Vacuum7
Sep 19, 2019, 04:03 PM
Athos: Oh no, I knew what I was saying: Joe McCarthy almost single-handedly dismantled a communist fifth column in the U.S.....because he was an extreme patriot.....and yet, all we ever hear about him is how he "persecuted" innocent people....like Alger Hiss, right, wasn't he innocent, too? No, he was a Soviet agent in Roosevelt's State Department.....but we always here the poor "At long last, Sir, do you have no decency" speech so everyone can be blinded to all the great things McCarthy did to protect a very vulnerable nation.
Yes, I know VERY WELL when the Beirut Barracks Bombing occurred and it was orchestrated by Iran POST-SHAH and UNDER MULLAHS' DIRECTIVES...not conflating anything!...The money was carted over here by the Shah and Obama carted it back over and paid the Mullahs off as a form of tribute and to grease the path to aiding their coercion of him into signing a worthless "Nuclear Deal:...And I don't care that it might have happened 30 years prior to Barack Hussein Obama providing $1.7 billion in payment to the Mullahs: Those U.S. Marines WERE STILL DEAD AND THEY WERE DEAD BECAUSE AN IRANIAN TERRORIST ACT WAS SET UPON THEM.....Does it make it O.K. that it was 30 some years earlier that those Marines were murdered? Does that make it all better? Does that let the stinking Mullahs off the hook? Is it a game and "has time expired" so they win and get to take home the money? Remember U.S. Law: There is no time limit in the prosecution of a murder charge and those U.S. Marines WERE MURDERED BY THE IRANIANS. And, under Barack Hussein Obama, we paid the terrorist country of Iran who committed the murders of our U.S. Marines.
And, I can tell you, Trump doesn't give a single damn about the Nuclear Deal or wanting the deal back...Trump wiped his with the Nuclear Deal, effectively....and he could care less because the U.S. has a lot more leverage than the Iranians ever will...and a hell of lot more weapons, nuclear or otherwise, so they don't scare him. I will wager that Trump really wished he had the $1.7 billon back in U.S. coffers, though.
The left CONTINUES to underestimate this POTUS....and its going cost them the White House in 2020 if they don't change their ways....and time is running out!
talaniman
Sep 19, 2019, 04:15 PM
By that logic, why are we even talking to Saudi Arabia or dealing with them? 9/11 ring a bell?
paraclete
Sep 19, 2019, 06:14 PM
Athos: Oh no, I knew what I was saying: Joe McCarthy almost single-handedly dismantled a communist fifth column in the U.S.....because he was an extreme patriot.....and yet, all we ever hear about him is how he "persecuted" innocent people....like Alger Hiss, right, wasn't he innocent, too? No, he was a Soviet agent in Roosevelt's State Department.....but we always here the poor "At long last, Sir, do you have no decency" speech so everyone can be blinded to all the great things McCarthy did to protect a very vulnerable nation.
Yes, I know VERY WELL when the Beirut Barracks Bombing occurred and it was orchestrated by Iran POST-SHAH and UNDER MULLAHS' DIRECTIVES...not conflating anything!...The money was carted over here by the Shah and Obama carted it back over and paid the Mullahs off as a form of tribute and to grease the path to aiding their coercion of him into signing a worthless "Nuclear Deal:...And I don't care that it might have happened 30 years prior to Barack Hussein Obama providing $1.7 billion in payment to the Mullahs: Those U.S. Marines WERE STILL DEAD AND THEY WERE DEAD BECAUSE AN IRANIAN TERRORIST ACT WAS SET UPON THEM.....Does it make it O.K. that it was 30 some years earlier that those Marines were murdered? Does that make it all better? Does that let the stinking Mullahs off the hook? Is it a game and "has time expired" so they win and get to take home the money? Remember U.S. Law: There is no time limit in the prosecution of a murder charge and those U.S. Marines WERE MURDERED BY THE IRANIANS. And, under Barack Hussein Obama, we paid the terrorist country of Iran who committed the murders of our U.S. Marines.
And, I can tell you, Trump doesn't give a single damn about the Nuclear Deal or wanting the deal back...Trump wiped his with the Nuclear Deal, effectively....and he could care less because the U.S. has a lot more leverage than the Iranians ever will...and a hell of lot more weapons, nuclear or otherwise, so they don't scare him. I will wager that Trump really wished he had the $1.7 billon back in U.S. coffers, though.
The left CONTINUES to underestimate this POTUS....and its going cost them the White House in 2020 if they don't change their ways....and time is running out!
What are we back to commies under the bed? There were some dark eras in the second half of the 20th century, much paranoia.
It is obvious Trump is undecided about what to do with Iran. He pulled out of a deal that might not have been perfect but it provided a path forward and a possibility of easing of tensions. Trump is a nothing man, nothing anyone did before him is of any value. But we have to stop looking backward, otherwise we are just rear gunners, shooting at what is behind us.
The hand of the Sauds is heavy in US policy, but the US has been a tool in their hands, taking down Iraq, opposing Iran and Tal whether the Sauds, as opposed to their people, are responsible for 9/11, look closer to home
Vacuum7
Sep 19, 2019, 06:45 PM
Paraclete: Wow! Are you a mind reader or something? Talaniman alluded to it and you delineated it very accurately: Saudi Arabia produced 15 of the 19 of the 9/11 High Jackers...and that isn't all: They are a dirty bunch that has been abusing and using the U.S. like a rented mule! They are no ally to Washington....and they are the exporters of Wahhabism, the most radical form of radical Islam. I would become a TRUMP FOR 2020 campaigner if he just announced that the U.S. was cutting off all ties to Saudi Arabia tomorrow! I don't like it when we get suckered!
Paraclete: The later half of the 1940s and all of the 1950s were a time when a REAL communist 5th column was at work in the U.S.....it may have been some paranoia but it was some real danger there, too. We should be proud that we had some really brave WWII Vets, like Senator Joe McCarthy and Congressman Richard Nixon, who rolled up their sleeves and exposed the communist conspiracy....it wasn't a hoax! We also must be guarded in "judging" the times of yesterday (history) through the prism of today....like parallax, your understanding and judgements can be distorted by your reference point and the lighting provided unto the subject matter.
talaniman
Sep 19, 2019, 07:12 PM
I have always beeen careful of idealogical terms like communism, socialism, fascism, marxists and all the other issms because if you examine the humans behind them, its about power and control for a small group that knows best for everybody else. It all amounts to an economic slavery of the mind designed to suppress and oppress a population. Some are steeped in the so called religious domination or non religious really makes no difeerence since the end result is always the same POWER, and CONTROL by the few over the many. Explains why I stay away from groups and the group think thing pretty much, and their so called leaders who much prefer bleating sheep than collective consensus.
For the record though there has been a war going on in the ME for a very long time it's just been a bit unclear who was who, and whose on whose side. They always knew though and as the west catches on to what's really going on, then maybe we back away to a safe distance and let the protagonists kick the crap out of each other.
The stupidity of it is the arms dealers on both sides selling them guns and bullets when all the really need is rocks and clubs. Cheaper that way.
paraclete
Sep 19, 2019, 11:38 PM
I have always beeen careful of idealogical terms like communism, socialism, fascism, marxists and all the other issms because if you examine the humans behind them, its about power and control for a small group that knows best for everybody else. It all amounts to an economic slavery of the mind designed to suppress and oppress a population. Some are steeped in the so called religious domination or non religious really makes no difeerence since the end result is always the same POWER, and CONTROL by the few over the many. Explains why I stay away from groups and the group think thing pretty much, and their so called leaders who much prefer bleating sheep than collective consensus.
For the record though there has been a war going on in the ME for a very long time it's just been a bit unclear who was who, and whose on whose side. They always knew though and as the west catches on to what's really going on, then maybe we back away to a safe distance and let the protagonists kick the crap out of each other.
The stupidity of it is the arms dealers on both sides selling them guns and bullets when all the really need is rocks and clubs. Cheaper that way.
you know Tal you took out the only man who was doing anything about it, Saddam, and why, because the Sauds crapped their pants and Bush ran to help, the Bush family being in the Saud pocket, and now what do we have? Iran ascendency and Where is Trump? contemplating his navel?
talaniman
Sep 20, 2019, 04:22 AM
I don't know if you have your facts straight at all there Clete, but regime change in Iraq using Cowboy diplomacy proved to be a huge mistake. Not saying there wasn't a lot of corruption surronding the whole deal, both before and after, but that follows dictators of any country, that deals with the so called "free" world.
The players may have changed but the game has always been the same. The love of Mo'MONEY FO' ME. I mean, who can resist that? Shame it takes corrupt dictators to check and balance each other in the first place.
Athos
Sep 20, 2019, 07:19 AM
you know Tal you took out the only man who was doing anything about it, Saddam, and why, because the Sauds crapped their pants and Bush ran to help, the Bush family being in the Saud pocket, and now what do we have? Iran ascendency and Where is Trump? contemplating his navel?
For once I agree with you. What Bush junior did along with Cheney and, sadly, Powell, was illegal, immoral, and, in every possible sense, WRONG! In a fairer world, he would be tried for crimes against humanity. They sowed the wind, and we are reaping the whirlwind.
Vacuum7
Sep 20, 2019, 09:15 PM
Athos: And, FOR ONCE, I agree with you! Good summary of my feelings on it, too.
And, what was precipitated out of the other CIA plan, called the ARAB SPRING, was criminal, as well: The Arab Spring B.S. was all about getting a Natural Gas Pipeline from Saudi Arabia to Europe so the damned Germans could cutoff the Russian supply they were buying and help deflate the Russian Confederation, their arch enemy. But there was a fly-in-the-ointment called Syria, who is a Russian ally, sitting square in the way of the planned pipeline route: The whole Arab Spring was designed to take down Syria and Assad.....IT DIDN'T WORK! But, along the way, the Arab Spring managed to kill an estimated 570,000 people in Syria ALONE! How in the name of hell can this slaughter be celebrated in the West when it was a plan hatched in the West and it was a debacle and a loss? Obama thought it was so cute to pull this stunt and now he is out of office and Assad is still in power. And, make no mistake about it: The West created ISIS with the stupid Arab Spring crap.....that were these terrorist sprang up from.....and, to the greatest extent, it was Assad and the Russians that killed the bastards off, not the West!
tomder55
Sep 21, 2019, 01:38 AM
It does appear that Iran now has a free hand to attack our allies in the region without reprisals except perhaps more sanctions ;Saudi Oil fields ,the Gulf shipping lanes ,their proxies in Lebanon and Syria poised to attack Israel. Are they emboldened by the world's timid response ? Yes . Will they become more emboldened with each tepid response ? Of course . That is the history you should be concentrating on . Why would wobbly states like Qatar bank on us for protection when clearly the 12ers demonstrated that they won't get the support an alliance presumes ?
Just think of the audacity of this attack right before the UN General Assembly (which I'm told that Iran foreign minister
Mohammad Javad Zari will attend ....I hope his visa application is turned down) . Trump's "locked and loaded " rhetoric appears to be more meaningless bluff .
Here is another history you should consider . More than once the embers of revolution against the regime have glowed only the be put down without us giving the green revolution any real assistance. This regime continues to rule with their jackboots on the people ;without any real legitimacy . One thing the sanctions have done is make the regime fragile. That is one of the reasons they are taking military risks .A targeted military response could very well unleash that revolutionary movement again.
The regime in Iran is the problem . If the country were not ruled by apocalyptic terrorists hell bent on dominating the region and exporting their brand of revolution ,then the thought of them possessing nukes would be far less terrifying . Even without nukes they are responsible for more terrorist mayhem around the world than any single terrorist group we engage in militarily.
Here is the reality . Iran has been at war with us for 40 years (talk about endless wars ) . When your enemy is determined to attack you then you are at war whether you like it or not . So the bottom line is that regime change is the only real solution to Iran. I'd rather fight it by backing the opposition inside the country 1st . But either way it is a fight we have no choice to engage.
talaniman
Sep 21, 2019, 06:51 AM
It was only a matter of time before the proxy conflict in Yemen spread beyond those borders as Yemen has been a hotspot for dissadents and terrorists for decades. We still don't exactly know the part that Russia plays in this mess or how our own interests conflict with the regional climate. We do know what happens when our side throws more chaos into an already chaotic situation when we take this regime change thing way to far to fast and misread what the fallout to be as we push the outcome WE want. Maybe we rid the region of an Islamiic State in Mosul region, but did we defeat ISIS? No they just scattered like rats all over the place, and the same will unfortunately be very true in Syria when the Russians and Iranians restore Assads control there which is decidedly not in our interests.
A unilateral military move on our part without a broad coalition of committed allies would just be another Viet Nam on a larger scale, in the desert, instead of the jungle. Regime change from without rather than from within is just a disaster waiting to happem. I sure wouldn't count on the Iranian people revolting against the 12ers because of economic sanctions and especially not over military strikes.
Nor would I trust the Saudis to do anything in our interests without a heavy investment of blood and treasure from us. Frankly I'm tired of hearing how easy it would be to kick somebody's a$$ with our superior military. Only a fool thinks that.
Vacuum7
Sep 21, 2019, 07:08 AM
Talaniman: The Middle East is a real sh#& hole...and I don't see that changing. Best we get out and consolidate in the Western Hemisphere!
talaniman
Sep 21, 2019, 07:18 AM
Hmm, didn't we try that in Europe? As I read of history, we got attacked any way.
tomder55
Sep 21, 2019, 11:54 AM
A unilateral military move on our part without a broad coalition of committed allies would just be another Viet Nam on a larger scale, in the desert, instead of the jungle. Regime change from without rather than from within is just a disaster waiting to happem. I sure wouldn't count on the Iranian people revolting against the 12ers because of economic sanctions and especially not over military strikes.
we has allies by our side in Vietnam. The Aussies had 521 killed and 3,000 wounded . You owe Clete an apology..... and besides the Aussies ,South Korea (300,000 troops ;
5,099 killed; 10,962 wounded )
,New Zealand(
3,890 troops ,37 killed 187 wounded )
and Thailand(
351 killed; 1,358 injured)
all had troops engaged in the conflict ..
Hmm, didn't we try that in Europe? As I read of history, we got attacked any way.
yes retreat to fortress American never worked in the past . The truth is that we engage in world affairs and will continue to do so no matter how isolationist the politics becomes
talaniman
Sep 21, 2019, 01:58 PM
You think the dufus was dickering for troops for Iran with Morrison? SHHH! Don't tell Clete.
paraclete
Sep 21, 2019, 04:29 PM
You think the dufus was dickering for troops for Iran with Morrison? SHHH! Don't tell Clete.
Not interested in fighting your battles for you, you have talked up this fight for years, no way I would send any troops to defend a wahhabbist. I am against the second deployment of our troops in Afghanistan, we are wearing out our equipment on your behalf and for what?
tomder55
Sep 21, 2019, 05:48 PM
I thank Australia for their continued alliance with us .
paraclete
Sep 21, 2019, 07:16 PM
I thank Australia for their continued alliance with us.
I thank the US for their continued alliance with us. This alliance works if either nation is attacked. It does not automatically mean that it works should either nation initiate a war. We held a view communism should be contained, we held a view that after 9/11 al Qaeda should be defeated, we held a view, erroneously, that Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction and must be stopped, we have worked with you to destroy ISIS and the Taliban. These conflicts have been costly for a small nation with limited military capability..
I'm wondering what will happen if we find it necessary to confront Indonesia over West Papua as we did over East Timor. The US left us to it.
Vacuum7
Sep 21, 2019, 10:01 PM
The truth is this: WE/THE U.S. doesn't need the den of Wahhabism's damned oil! In fact, since the U.S. is the largest exporter of oil in the world, it might be best if we just start selling to the markets that the Saudis are selling to (i.e. take their customers)….Nobody on this site better think the rotten Saudis are a U.S. ally.....Oh, guess what, the crazy Wahhabis are going go crazy again, like they aren't already, once U.S. troops set foot on their "holy" land.....that is one thing that Bin Laden said got them going before.
And, don't talk about "Fortress America" ever again: We have dolts not even wanting to defend out borders! What kind of "fortress" doesn't protect its perimeter?
paraclete
Sep 21, 2019, 11:58 PM
The truth is this: WE/THE U.S. doesn't need the den of Wahhabism's damned oil! In fact, since the U.S. is the largest exporter of oil in the world, it might be best if we just start selling to the markets that the Saudis are selling to (i.e. take their customers)….Nobody on this site better think the rotten Saudis are a U.S. ally.....Oh, guess what, the crazy Wahhabis are going go crazy again, like they aren't already, once U.S. troops set foot on their "holy" land.....that is one thing that Bin Laden said got them going before.
And, don't talk about "Fortress America" ever again: We have dolts not even wanting to defend our borders! What kind of "fortress" doesn't protect its perimeter?
yes Vac you must defend and strengthen your borders for more than one reason, and please don't start any more wars in the ME. I think you should be selling us oil it would be cheaper than Tapis, but we should exploit our own resources, that is if we could get rid of some greenies who want to protect everything but human beings. It is very sad that Muslim nations hold so much of the oil resource. The Saudi should put their own lives on the line to protect their assets this time, might stop them exporting that crazy religion, but you will be beside them while ever they buy your weapons
Vacuum7
Sep 22, 2019, 05:57 AM
Paraclete: The whole M.E. is fetid, festering sewer! Saudis are worthless: they import workers from Asia to build every thing in their stinking "kingdom"....too damn lazy to get out of their robes to do it themselves.
paraclete
Sep 22, 2019, 06:36 AM
Paraclete: The whole M.E. is fetid, festering sewer! Saudis are worthless: they import workers from Asia to build every thing in their stinking "kingdom"....too damn lazy to get out of their robes to do it themselves.
Yes but not too lazy to cut off heads, they import everything including mercenaries
talaniman
Sep 22, 2019, 07:02 AM
The ME is a bunch of poor people with corrupt leaders who use religion to control the their populations and hog all the wealth.
paraclete
Sep 22, 2019, 03:31 PM
The ME is a bunch of poor people with corrupt leaders who use religion to control their populations and hog all the wealth.
How naive you are, the whole of the ME is corrupt, top to bottom
Vacuum7
Sep 22, 2019, 06:54 PM
Paraclete: You sound like you may have gone to the M.E. before and I assume you have....I get all my information secondhand but my nephew was over there three different occasions for long tours of duty, in Iraq: His distain for the country/countries and the people inhibiting the countries is palatable....of course, his view may be biased since he is U.S. Army and was being shot at regularly.....but his accounts are firsthand.....Experience has taught me and, I have learned, to put much more stock in firsthand accounts. Even the more "civilized" countries were places he doesn't wish to return to ever again....Talaniman is correct, though, according to my nephew: He saw 0oor people treated like dog crap and women treated like farm animals: It was enough for him for one life time.
talaniman
Sep 23, 2019, 07:38 AM
Obviously I do not share Cletes blanket bias against the people of the ME, or any other region of the Earth. Most humans are peaceful until pushed to hard, or too long, or get whipped into a desperate frenzy by a leader who promises rewards against whatever enemy he identifies as the cause of their misery. Lots of places on Earth like that Vac.
What would you do to feed you're family? Wouldn't you kiss the bosses arse and do as you're told if they needed a loaf of bread? Many of us would, though we may hate ourselves for it, but if not having that option made you desperate enough then yeah, I just might cut off your head if my family was starving in the dirt or under a bridge, or in the middle of the desert, or jungle.
That's how "leaders" raise Armies isn't it? That's why there are criminal gangs in every city on Earth, big or small.
Vacuum7
Sep 23, 2019, 03:19 PM
Talaniman: I think your explanation describes what our Father's generation lived, literally: Born in '24....just in time to be 5 years old when the Great Depression hit....and just old enough to join in on WWII in '42 and see some of the toughest battles in the Pacific (Kwajalein, Saipan, Tarawa, and others).....I think what you said was his mindset: He had nothing coming up as a kid and knew it was a duty and honor to serve but, after that, he worked like there was no tomorrow because, after experiencing the Great Depression and WWII, he KNEW, firsthand, there could very well be NO TOMORROW......Desperate conditions make you hardened......There is an old saying: "Hard times make good men.....Good times make soft men...….Soft men make hard times".....and I believe there is much to be said for that.
Our Fathers knew the truth: For the most part, we work and we live without a safety net. We own virtually nothing but our integrity, our good name and that is why you must defend your integrity all costs....everything we own, all material things, can easily be taken from us. Our Fathers sought to build a buffer between their families and the threats of the outside world.....because they knew how bad it could be....and they knew this in a way that most living in the U.S., today, do not and, hopefully, never will.
paraclete
Sep 23, 2019, 11:58 PM
Of course, we don't know much YET!
What do you mean Tal, we know as much as we will ever know. Some drones flew from we know not where to a place somewhere. There was damage, carnage even.
theipllaser
Sep 24, 2019, 03:39 AM
Great
paraclete
Sep 24, 2019, 05:39 AM
Great
isn't it, news articles appear then the whole subject is dropped, inconvenient to some perhaps, doesn't play into the daily script, and then, we watch in awe as the great man goes electioneering
talaniman
Sep 24, 2019, 05:53 AM
You joining the US and Saudi Arabia to destroy Iran Clete? How long do you think that will take?
paraclete
Sep 24, 2019, 06:33 AM
You joining the US and Saudi Arabia to destroy Iran Clete? How long do you think that will take?
I don't want war Tal and your entry into Iraq should have told you something, but no, your arrogance continues. A nation fighting on their own ground is very hard to conquer. You don't suggest the use of nuclear weapons, do you?
talaniman
Sep 24, 2019, 07:59 AM
I don't want war Tal and your entry into Iraq should have told you something, but no, your arrogance continues. A nation fighting on their own ground is very hard to conquer. You don't suggest the use of nuclear weapons, do you?
Hey, are you joining us or not? Stop equivocating, as we have sent the Saudis all kinds of stuff to defend themselves, and now troops to boot. If you prefer the media saber rattling fair enough, but Iran ain't giving up nothing, and there is no nuclear deal, as bad as you may think the old deal was, NO deal means anything goes, so which side of the fence are you on, or would you just rather read the funny papers?
paraclete
Sep 24, 2019, 03:15 PM
Hey, are you joining us or not? Stop equivocating, as we have sent the Saudis all kinds of stuff to defend themselves, and now troops to boot. If you prefer the media saber rattling fair enough, but Iran ain't giving up nothing, and there is no nuclear deal, as bad as you may think the old deal was, NO deal means anything goes, so which side of the fence are you on, or would you just rather read the funny papers?
I'm sitting in the stands watching the play. The way I see it Iran should be left alone so long as they don't attack anyoneelse.
talaniman
Sep 24, 2019, 04:51 PM
They have only attacked stuff so far, but it's not theirs, and I guess it doesn't matter if it was them or a proxy buddy, since the Saudis and Iran are already technically at war with each other through proxy's so let them have at each other.
Vacuum7
Sep 24, 2019, 05:36 PM
Talaniman: U.S., Western Hemisphere, Monroe Doctrine.....Abide by the warning to avoid foreign wars.
Athos
Sep 25, 2019, 04:09 AM
Talaniman: U.S., Western Hemisphere, Monroe Doctrine.....Abide by the warning to avoid foreign wars.
Since the Monroe Doctrine, the US has been involved in many foreign wars, including the largest war in the history of mankind.
Vacuum7
Sep 25, 2019, 05:59 AM
Athos: There is a major difference between being "pulled into" a "WAR" through attacks and becoming embroiled in a conflict because of ridiculous agreements with so called "allies who would not come the U.S.'s defense under any circumstance.....The U.N. is decidedly ANTI-U.S., do you not agree?
You are correct about the U.S. and involvement with largest war in the history of mankind......but that was different....do you know why? It was different because the U.S. wrote and approved A DECLARATION OF WAR.....we have NEVER DECLARED WAR WITH ANY NATION SINCE WWII......that is a tremendous difference: These conflicts are not wars...Korea and Vietnam were not wars....neither were any of the engagements in the M.E.....these conflicts serve no good end and they do nothing but endanger and kill off our young people while weakening the economy of the U.S. and sowing dissent and agitation amongst the population....they are divisive....with no upside.
talaniman
Sep 25, 2019, 06:52 AM
Come on Vac, declared or not war is war. You know bombs and fighting and death. That semantics dance doesn't change those facts, and that Monroe Doctrine was just a piece of paper with a nice idea but no reality.
Vacuum7
Sep 25, 2019, 01:39 PM
Talaniman: The Declaration Of War turns loose the entirety of U.S. Military might upon the aggressor.....that is something that did not happen in Korea or Vietnam or anywhere since WWII.
You could argue that the Monroe Doctrine was a "Piece Of Paper" but it was much more than that until Eisenhower and Kennedy decided to take a dump on it and permit Castro to turn Cuba into a "Worker's Paradise" of Bolshevik terror. I have heard those on the left, including Obama, say that the U.S. Constitution was "Just A Piece Of Paper".....do you think the U.S. Constitution is just a piece of paper?
talaniman
Sep 25, 2019, 03:21 PM
It's a guideline for governance for our country. It took four years of our might aided by Allies to free Europe and defeat Japan. By your logic we should not have stopped the Russians from stationing nukes in Cuba, not have aided Korea against NK, and certainly not have tried to help SVN against NVN. Am I correct? What about E Germany against W Germany? The Balkans? Africa? Afghanistan?
Seems your strict interpretation of the Monroe Doctrine would have us sit and watch the rest of the world be over run, and surround us with enemies working against our interests. Doesn't sound much like security, not that there is much security now.
I must take issue with the notion we can just kick everybody's butt all by ourselves anywhere in the world. Can you think of a single instance when we have?
paraclete
Sep 25, 2019, 04:01 PM
I must take issue with the notion we can just kick everybody's butt all by ourselves anywhere in the world. Can you think of a single instance when we have?
What about poor little Granada, or Panama, places easily forgotten. But when the UN says no, you gather others and say we will do it anyway. No, you live in a coward's castle these days behind your drones
Vacuum7
Sep 25, 2019, 04:02 PM
Talaniman: No, not one instance. My reservations are that many in the world look at the U.S. as a "safety blanket", free of charge.....but you know that nothing is free...and you know the payment is in the blood of our national treasure of soldiers. We just have to pick our battles more carefully and we don't need to protect the Saudi Arabians who don't like us anyway. Entanglement is easy, un-entanglement is much more difficult!
talaniman
Sep 25, 2019, 05:02 PM
What about poor little Granada, or Panama, places easily forgotten. But when the UN says no, you gather others and say we will do it anyway. No, you live in a coward's castle these days behind your drones
Good points, but you won't see our military to far behind our MONEY interests, nor can we make Mo' money by sitting on our own porch. Calling us cowards is a reflection on you to Clete since you don't seem to mind wagging your little tails behind us where ever we go.
talaniman
Sep 25, 2019, 05:10 PM
Talaniman: No, not one instance. My reservations are that many in the world look at the U.S. as a "safety blanket", free of charge.....but you know that nothing is free...and you know the payment is in the blood of our national treasure of soldiers. We just have to pick our battles more carefully and we don't need to protect the Saudi Arabians who don't like us anyway. Entanglement is easy, un-entanglement is much more difficult!
I cannot say that those we engage with for our mutual interests and security don't pay a price despite the popular view that it's just us doing the work. Of course they cannot do what we can, but they can do what THEY can. The big dog can be expected to do the bulk of the work. Libya comes to mind and the criticism was Obama was leading from behind while the Euro's ran all those sorties. They were the ones that needed the oil to keep flowing not us.
Vacuum7
Sep 25, 2019, 05:19 PM
Talaniman: What you say is true.....But Libya.....what a horrid outcome.....getting rid of Ghadaffi and replacing him with a civil war, of sorts, wasn't a nice thing for the U.S. to get involved in....Did you know Ghadaffi gave the oil wealth back to the people (no, I am not a Ghadaffi fan!) and we replaced him with rulers who are much more brutal and self-absorbed......maybe his end came as a form of payment for Lockerbie. But we did tell the Russians that we were going to stay out of it.....and we didn't....what happened in Bengazzi was a horrible mess and we will never know the truth about that, I guess.
paraclete
Sep 25, 2019, 05:40 PM
Why are you worrying about the past? Haven't you noticed that this Saudi/Iran thing was a storm in a tea cup and the world has moved on, you are more interested in a possible political mistake than conflict. This is because you no longer rely on Saudi product just on Saudi buys. No one is interested in Yemen so there was shout the other day, hey, look over here and the world said where?
talaniman
Sep 25, 2019, 05:45 PM
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_Benghazi_attack
paraclete
Sep 25, 2019, 05:50 PM
Tal I know about thirteen hours in Benghazi, I know there was failure, mayhem, cowardise even. Not a good look but it was a long time ago, far away, and I'm sure you wish it would go away.
Vac, you don't need to protect Saudi Arabia, that mob have been slitting each others throats for centuries and no amount of american blood will stem the tide. 1400 years ago a desert conman started a war and it is always raging somewhere
Vacuum7
Sep 25, 2019, 07:05 PM
Paraclete: Couldn't agree more about the Saudis.....their Wahhabism is poison in the M.E....but they may have met their match in the crazy department with the Mullahs....maybe they will cancel each other out!
paraclete
Sep 25, 2019, 07:14 PM
Paraclete: Couldn't agree more about the Saudis.....their Wahhabism is poison in the M.E....but they may have met their match in the crazy department with the Mullahs....maybe they will cancel each other out!
I think it is more a stare down, surely Iran knows they lack the military power, you see there is that matter of a few miles of water
talaniman
Sep 26, 2019, 04:49 AM
What they lack in military, they more than make up in guerilla groups.