oxitt
Sep 19, 2011, 12:08 PM
I have two independent tests, A and B where A+ denotes the test outcome is positive, A- denotes the test outcome is negative. Random variable x denotes that the patient has AIDS. X+ denotes the patient has AIDS, x- denotes the patient doesn't have AIDS.
We have the following probabilities:
P(A-|x-) = 0.81
P(A-|x+) = 0.20
P(A+|x-) = 0.19
P(A+|x+) = 0.80
P(B-|x-) = 0.88
P(B-|x+) = 0.03
P(B+|x-) = 0.12
P(B+|x+) = 0.97
And prior probability P(x+) = 0.003
How can I calculate P(x+|A+, B+)? I know how to calculate it for P(x+|A+) but now there are two different tests and I am confused about the calculation.
We have the following probabilities:
P(A-|x-) = 0.81
P(A-|x+) = 0.20
P(A+|x-) = 0.19
P(A+|x+) = 0.80
P(B-|x-) = 0.88
P(B-|x+) = 0.03
P(B+|x-) = 0.12
P(B+|x+) = 0.97
And prior probability P(x+) = 0.003
How can I calculate P(x+|A+, B+)? I know how to calculate it for P(x+|A+) but now there are two different tests and I am confused about the calculation.