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Originally Posted by galactus There are 3 cases to consider. If two aces are drawn from the 2 selected, if 1 ace is drawn from the 2 selected, or if no aces are drawn from the two selected. |
galactus - I think you answered the wrong question - your method would help find the probability that one of the 2 discarded cards is an ace. But I think what the OP was asking is actually this:
Take a deck of 52 cards. Discard 2, leaving 50. Now draw one card from the remaining 50 - what is the probability that this card is an ace?
IATM has the mathematically correct answer. But this problem is one of those that really doesn't require such high-powered mathematics. It's a bit like swatting a fly with a sledge hammer- it works, but something a little simpler may be easier. Here restating the problem can make it a lot easier to understand - consider that the OP's question is identical to the following:
Start with a deck of 52 cards and deal the cards one by one - what is the probability that the third card drawn is an ace?
Now the answer should be pretty obvious.