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EuRa
Mar 7, 2009, 05:00 PM
Edited. if you are curious as to what this post said, please scroll down to the link below.

Wondergirl
Mar 7, 2009, 05:09 PM
1 out of 3

EuRa
Mar 7, 2009, 05:19 PM
Anybody else? And if you could explain why, I would love to hear it.

EuRa
Mar 7, 2009, 05:58 PM
Woops, I meant to say your answer is incorrect, and that the correct answer is C, but I was going to give you props anyway. :)

kp2171
Mar 7, 2009, 06:00 PM
it doesnt matter if they reveal a "goat door" or not, and doesnt matter if the member switches.

there are always three doors, and always only one car.

the only possible arrangements are

1 2 3
g g c
g c g
c g g

thats it... now look down vertically... if you choose ANY door, you will always have a 1 in 3 chance.

kp2171
Mar 7, 2009, 06:02 PM
actually, i was wrong and i get it.

ill explain...

kp2171
Mar 7, 2009, 06:06 PM
assuming

1 2 3
g g c
g c g
c g g

if i choose door 1, scenario 1 ( g g c)... theyll show me door 2 and i, by your rules, must switch to 3 = car

if i choose door 1, scenario 2 (g c g)... theyll show me door 3 and i must switch to 2 = car

if i choose door 1, scenario 3 (c g g)... theyll show me door 2 or 3, and ill switch to a goat door = no car.

so choosing door one, with a goat door revealed, and a mandated switch (what i ignored at first) will get me a car in 2 or 3 tries.

same goes for any other door chosen.

my mistake was ignoring the mandated switch.

galactus
Mar 7, 2009, 06:14 PM
This is known as the Monty Hall problem.

See here:

Monty Hall problem - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem)

EuRa
Mar 7, 2009, 06:36 PM
woot! ty kp2171! I appreciate your efforts greatly!

galactus is correct. thanks for the link!