Will I pass an EtG test in 63 hours?

what are the chances you think of me passing after 63 hours?

i feel like the 80 hr is alot of hype and more of a marketing thing. i mean i think it can detect alcohol up to 80 hours but in very very low results even below 100ng cut off.in (extreme cases)

Where did you get the 67000 figure. Not questioning the validity as I remember it but can't recall the source. In particular, can't recall the beverage, beer wine or vodka.

If you're looking for a quick answer, 15 drinks with 63 hours from last drink seems short (100 ng) could be close at 500. I also think you might be using the wrong formula for calculating rate of excretion, t 1/2.

I can get back to you tomorrow with some details that might interest you but I'm checking out for the night and it will take a little time.

okay thank you
get back to me as quick as you can pls

i had about 8 shots and 1 four loko

I apologize for the delay in responding.

8 shots and 1-Four Loko (12% abv max) doesn't equal 15 drinks. You would be at the 11 drink level assuming 23.5 oz can for the latter.

Nonetheless, if you have applied a multiplier of 67000 per drink consumed you have probably overestimated EtG. Contrariwise by using the standard t 1/2 calculation (zero order kinetics) you have underestimated excretion time. (brief description here)

EtG does not follow a straight line elimination profile (i.e 1/2 divided by 1/2). Rather, in order to determine EtG excreretion a two compartment model is utilized (Michaelis-Menten, enzyme kinetics). For definition see Michaelis?Menten kinetics - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia A moot point because there is no way of determining a start point.

However, in comparison to your multiplier (67000 per) another study using a measured dose of 24 g (2 drinks approx) found that EtG (peak) ranged between 12,200-83,200 Rosano & Lin This study used 4 individuals, equal doses, and as you will note demonstrates an interindividual variance of nearly 7X.

Other studies have found that consumption of a single 12-ounce beer resulted in a peak EtG urine level of nearly 4,000 ng/mL at four hours post-consumption while another study noted a peak EtG of 68000 ng at 5 hours following 3 glasses of wine. (EtG peaks at 3-5 hours post-consumption)

My point isn't to diminish your analysis or initiative. Rather, to point out that scientific data and research is absent. What does exist is contradictory.

If you have further questions please ask. Once again I apologize for my delay in response to your initial inquiry.

dr bill do u see me having a chance at passing after 63 hours? im male 23 yrs old 6'0 ft 145 pounds very very fast metabolism

In my opinion your chance of passing is above 50%. That places you in the low percentile of research subjects but in my experience this test performs far below reported ranges.

My experience is that few people, even after heavy drinking, are EtG positive beyond 2 days (48 hr). Please understand that my observations are experiential, naturalistic. My associates stopped using EtG testing in mid-2009 consonant with my belief that it is clinically useless for abstinence monitoring.

Based on research you should have a positive return.....based on my experience you probably will not.

Please let me know the results....we'll both advance.

By the way, I don't discount your previous calculations on EtG theory of synthesis and elimination. My return was as much invitational as counteractive or corrective. Always happy to discuss this subject/science acknowledging equiniscience.

it has been 11 days and still havent heard anything. you think i am in the clear?